๐ŸŽƒ Portal Stats & Summon Results โ€“ Return to Morlovia (Halloween) 2022

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This thread is for information and discussion on the Return to Morlovia (Halloween) 2021 Summon Portal, and sharing Summon Results.

:game_die: Return to Morlovia 2022 Appearance Rates

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Featured Hero and Costumes:

  • No featured heroes.

Appearance Rates

Click for OLD 2021 Return to Morlovia Appearance Rates, for comparison

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Click for OLD 2020 Return to Morlovia Appearance Rates, for comparison

OLD 2020 Morlovia Appearance Rates

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Click for OLD 2019 Return to Morlovia Appearance Rates, for comparison

OLD 2019 Morlovia Appearance Rates

Classic Season 1 Heroes

  • Rare Classic Hero: 56.8%
  • Epic Classic Hero: 20.8%
  • Legendary Classic Hero: 0.9%

Seasonal Heroes

  • Rare Seasonal Hero: 14.2%
  • Epic Seasonal Hero: 5.7%
  • Legendary Seasonal Hero: 1.5%

* Costume included if available

BONUS DRAW

Legendary Hero of the Month: 1.3%


:dizzy: Epic Hero Tokens Can Be Used for Seasonal Summoning

The Seasonal Summons replaces the regular Epic Hero Summons.

Because of that, unlike Challenge Event Summons, the Summoning Portal for Seasonal Events allows using saved up Epic Hero Tokens that can otherwise normally only be used for Epic Hero Summons.

That makes Seasonal Events the only place you can currently use Epic Hero Tokens for a chance at non-Season 1 heroes.

Youโ€™ll also have the same chance at the HOTM as usual when using Epic Hero Tokens.


:gem: Summon Costs

  • Single: 1 Epic Hero Token or 300 Gems
  • 10x: 2600 Gems

:money_with_wings: Analysis of Summon Appearance Rates

This table shows the cumulative probability of different Summon events, based on a total number of Summons (1x, 10x, 30x, 100x, 500x, 1500x)

Please note that NO occurrence is ever actually 100%; the 100% entries in the table below indicate cumulative probabilities sufficiently close to 100% that they are expressed as such for simplicity. All other numbers are rounded to the nearest 0.1%.

Occurence 1x 10x 30x 100x 500x 1500x
Get At Least 1 Season 1 Hero 78.6% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Get At Least 1 Morlovia Hero 21.4% 91.0% 99.9% 100% 100% 100%
Get At Least 1 5* (excluding HOTM Bonus Draw) 2.5% 22.4% 53.2% 92.0% 99.9% 100%
Get At Least 1 Morlovia 5* 1.5% 14.0% 36.5% 77.9% 99.9% 100%
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Morlovia 5* 0.5% 4.9% 14.0% 39.4% 91.8% 99.3%
Get At Least 1 Morlovia 4* 5.7% 44.4% 82.8% 99.7% 100% 100%
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Morlovia 4* 2.85% 25.0% 58.0% 94.5% 100% 100%
Get At Least 1 Morlovia 3* 14.2% 78.4% 99.0% 100% 100% 100%
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Morlovia 3* 7.1% 52.1% 89.0% 99.9% 100% 100%

Putting That in Perspective

  • :no_entry_sign: If 1 million players each did :one::zero: Summons, 776,000 of those players would NOT get a Return to Morlovia or Season 1 5* Hero

  • :no_entry_sign: If 1 million players each did :three::zero: Summons, 420,000 of those players would NOT get Frank

  • :no_entry_sign: If 1 million players each did :one::zero::zero: Summons, 221,000 of those players would NOT get a Return to Morlovia 5* Hero

  • :no_entry_sign: If 1 million players each did :five::zero::zero: Summons, 82,000 of those players would NOT get Vanda


:link: Other 2022 Return to Morlovia Threads

Offers Log:

5 Likes

Just curious, will all the 5* be featured or otherwise whatโ€™s the odds of pulling a non-featured 5* such as Francine, Victor etc. I know last year it was different as there were only 3 legendaries but now there are 6? Will the 1.6% odds be broken up?

According to @Elioty33

[Emphasis added in quote - no featured hero]

3 Likes

Itโ€™s now 1.6% for a chance of any of the 6.

2 Likes

0.9 for S1 legendary heroes.
1.6 for seasonal legendary heroes.

The seasonal portal odds UI might say the seasonal heroes are โ€œfeaturedโ€ but usually, portals that have featured heroes have three odds: S1, non-featured event, and featured event heroes, like for the current dune summon for example. And the featured event heroes are a subset of all the given eventโ€™s heroes.

2 Likes

Btw itโ€™s weird this starts Tuesday. Except X-mas event, which always started 1st December, all other events always started on Monday for like last two years. Not that it particularly matters, just an observation.

3 Likes

It starts on Monday 3pm, my time. 3 October is Monday.

Less than 24 hours now.

You sure? SGG Calendar shows it starts 4th October (Tuesday) and so does this:

1 Like

Noooooooโ€ฆ, the calendar was changed ? From the earlier info release.

Never mind, Tuesday it is then.

Hmmm, probably a typo on SGGโ€™s side. The data I have clearly indicates that it should start on the 3rd Oct, until the 14th Nov.
@PlayForFun be ready to edit all your Return to Morlovia-related threads tomorrow :rofl:

3 Likes

Ok because honestly it makes no sense. Itโ€™s not like this even would be over during Halloween if it started tomorrow. Though it is also marked so in calendar (though that is probably auto-generated from those dates). Weโ€™ll see.

Edit: Tisโ€™ says it should start tomorrow. Take your pick since we have two different dates from official source.

3rd Oct all the way!

4 Likes

Yay! Ill be picking Alurcard and Miriam and Midnight in 30 pulls tomorrow then, not tuesday :smiley:

Ah damn looks like the summon rate is 1.5% instead of 1.6% :sweat_smile:

1 Like

I summoned with 26 EHTs and have 2 Goopys and a C Frank to show for it. the rest were mostly S1 3s and a few 4s, plus a dupe Vlad

3 Likes

18 pulls

ANABELL
the 3*green one
Valeria

A bit disappointed Valeria did not get a costume. Was hoping for Jack.

5 Likes

Best of seven pulls:

Iโ€™m glad to finally get my first Frank. :+1:

11 Likes

42 coin pulls brought me 2 Hotm and the green 3*. What a messโ€ฆ.

1 Like

37 summons with no 5*.

1 Like

2 EHT and a 10 pull

All season 1 with NINE 3^. Seriously???

1 Like