🎅 Portal Stats & Summon Results – Santa's Challenge (Christmas) 2021

Gameplay Help & Tactics
, ,
1

Screenshot_20201203-132136_Empires
Screenshot_20201203-132136_Empires1080×454 115 KB

This thread is for information and discussion on the Santa’s Challenge (Christmas) 2021

:game_die: Santa’s Challenge 2021 Appearance Rates

kép

Appearance Rates

Click for OLD 2020 Santa's Challenge Appearance Rates, for comparison

OLD 2020 Christmas Appearance Rates

Click for OLD 2019 Santa's Challenge Appearance Rates, for comparison

OLD 2019 Christmas Appearance Rates

Classic Season 1 Heroes

  • Rare Classic Hero: 56.8%
  • Epic Classic Hero: 20.8%
  • Legendary Classic Hero: 1.0%

Seasonal Heroes

  • Rare Seasonal Hero: 14.2%
  • Epic Seasonal Hero: 5.7%
  • Legendary Featured Seasonal Hero: 1.6 %*
    Costume included if available.

BONUS DRAW

Legendary Hero of the Month: 1.3%

:dizzy: Epic Hero Tokens Can Be Used for Seasonal Summoning

The Seasonal Summons replaces the regular Epic Hero Summons.

Because of that, unlike Challenge Event Summons, the Summoning Portal for Seasonal Events allows using saved up Epic Hero Tokens that can otherwise normally only be used for Epic Hero Summons.

That makes Seasonal Events the only place you can currently use Epic Hero Tokens for a chance at non-Season 1 heroes.

You’ll also have the same chance at the HOTM as usual when using Epic Hero Tokens.

:gem: Summon Costs

image
image828×165 99.1 KB

  • Single: 1 Epic Hero Token or 300 Gems
  • 10x: 2600 Gems

:money_with_wings: Analysis of Summon Appearance Rates

This table shows the cumulative probability of different Summon events, based on a total number of Summons (1x, 10x, 30x, 100x, 500x, 1500x)

Please note that NO occurrence is ever actually 100%; the 100% entries in the table below indicate cumulative probabilities sufficiently close to 100% that they are expressed as such for simplicity. All other numbers are rounded to the nearest 0.1%.

Occurence 1x 10x 30x 100x 500x 1500x
Get At Least 1 Season 1 Hero 78.6% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Get At Least 1 Winter Hero 21.4% 91.0% 99.9% 100% 100% 100%
Get At Least 1 5* (excluding HOTM Bonus Draw) 2.5% 22.4% 53.2% 92.0% 99.9% 100%
Get At Least 1 Winter 5* 1.5% 14.0% 36.5% 77.9% 99.9% 100%
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Winter 5* 0.5% 4.9% 14.0% 39.4% 91.8% 99.3%
Get At Least 1 Winter 4* 5.7% 44.4% 82.8% 99.7% 100% 100%
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Winter 4* 2.85% 25.0% 58.0% 94.5% 100% 100%
Get At Least 1 Winter 3* 14.2% 78.4% 99.0% 100% 100% 100%
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Winter 3* 7.1% 52.1% 89.0% 99.9% 100% 100%

Putting That in Perspective

  • :no_entry_sign: If 1 million players each did :one::zero: Summons, 776,000 of those players would NOT get a Winter or Season 1 5* Hero

  • :no_entry_sign: If 1 million players each did :three::zero: Summons, 420,000 of those players would NOT get Carol

  • :no_entry_sign: If 1 million players each did :one::zero::zero: Summons, 221,000 of those players would NOT get a Winter 5* Hero

  • :no_entry_sign: If 1 million players each did :five::zero::zero: Summons, 82,000 of those players would NOT get Krampus

:link: Other 2021 Santa’s Challenge (Christmas) Threads


7 Likes
2

Is this the first challenge event to have four legendary heroes at once?

3

Yes, @King_Kyree77.
Easter: Killhare, Lepus, big chicken
Halloween: Vanda, Franci, Vic
Summer: Rana, Yunan, Roc
Xmas: Mother North, Claus, Krampus and now Pingu.
You look classy in your profile pic, tho.

Hope I get at least Hanitra. Dont have many saved pulls but should be enough for a HOTM. I still don’t own Frosty and Caroline too.

3 Likes
4

When does it start? I couldn’t find it.

5

1st of December (Wednesday), 7am UTC
The link to the Event is in the Opening post

6

Thank you. I greatly appreciate it. Compliments are hard to come by, so I hope you’re being sincere. Lol

3 Likes
7

open already? or soon?

8

No problem. No reason to lie. Be confident, you look good. Not much as Alberich, though. Lol. :relaxed::relaxed::relaxed: @King_Kyree77

@tsoukalos opens at December 1st

9

Let’s hope for 1,3 % for featured 5* …

10

I am expecting the legendary odds to be 1.5% or 1.6%, but the portal was not in Beta.

1 Like
11

I see no reason to expect different odds than on Morlovia. All heroes are new so all should be featured at equal odds. That would be 1.6%, 0.4% for each.

1 Like
12

If anyone does their pulls, I’d wait for the next POV to do the pulls as a new POV comes in during this time

4 Likes
13

The part with appearance rates should be removed it gives players a false sense of guarantees and can lead to disappointment

14

I’ve gotten absolutely nothing worthwhile from this summon. Terrible.

Doesn’t help that the summon isn’t available yet and I’ve thus put literally nothing into it, but that’s beside the point :upside_down_face:

1 Like
15

Back to back to back

Screenshot_20211201-080419_Empires
Screenshot_20211201-080419_Empires1200×2000 117 KB

27 Likes
16

that is incredible luck on your sise. congratz.

just tossed 25 coins and got Krampus and 3 Buddies.

was hoping for the HotM.

neverless i am happy, have 1800 sorcerer emblems that will finally get put to use. Now regret using my aethers already haha.

4 Likes
17

Used 45 tokens, got Pengi and 2 of Hanitra. Im not disappointed, but i would have liked either MoNo or Krampus too.

4 Likes
18

Best of five pulls (EHTs only):

Screenshot_20211201-181237
Screenshot_20211201-1812371080×2340 156 KB

Screenshot_20211201-181412
Screenshot_20211201-1814121080×2340 358 KB

Screenshot_20211201-181430
Screenshot_20211201-1814301080×2340 377 KB

I didn’t expect anything from only five summons. Hanitra is my first holy HOTM, and this month marks my fourth anniversary playing the game. :star_struck:

I can’t wait to power level Hanitra! :+1::+1::smile::smile::smile:

20 Likes
19

50 summons in total and I got Mother North (dupe) and her costume (new). Also landed an insarnia. Was really hoping for krampus or the hotm but I can’t complain.

5 Likes
20

Was saving EHT for this portal in hopes of pulling Buddy. 38 EHT used: 1 Lianna, 2 Buddy, 2 Frosty, 1 Rudolph - all new. I consider this a very good pull on my part, plus I got a decent number of useful dupe 4* which I will want to ascend at one point or another.

7 Likes