🐰 Portal Stats & Summon Results – Springvale 2021

This thread is for information and discussion on the Springvale 2021 Summon Portal, and sharing Summon Results.


:game_die: Springvale 2021 Appearance Rates

Summon odds are the same in 2020 as they were in 2021.

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Appearance Rates

Click for OLD 2019 Springvale Appearance Rates, for comparison

OLD 2019 Springvale Appearance Rates

Classic Season 1 Heroes

  • Rare Classic Hero: 56.8%
  • Epic Classic Hero: 20.8%
  • Legendary Classic Hero: 1.0%

Seasonal Heroes

  • Rare Seasonal Hero: 14.2%
  • Epic Seasonal Hero: 5.7%
  • Legendary Seasonal Hero: 1.5%

BONUS DRAW

Legendary Hero of the Month: 1.3%


:dizzy: Epic Hero Tokens Can Be Used for Seasonal Summoning

The Seasonal Summons replaces the regular Epic Hero Summons.

Because of that, unlike Challenge Event Summons, the Summoning Portal for Seasonal Events allows using saved up Epic Hero Tokens that can otherwise normally only be used for Epic Hero Summons.

That makes Seasonal Events the only place you can currently use Epic Hero Tokens for a chance at non-Season 1 heroes.

You’ll also have the same chance at the HOTM as usual when using Epic Hero Tokens.


:gem: Summon Costs

  • Single: 1 Epic Hero Token or 300 Gems
  • 10x: 2600 Gems

:money_with_wings: Analysis of Summon Appearance Rates

This table shows the cumulative probability of different Summon events, based on a total number of Summons (1x, 10x, 30x, 100x, 500x, 1500x)

Please note that NO occurrence is ever actually 100%; the 100% entries in the table below indicate cumulative probabilities sufficiently close to 100% that they are expressed as such for simplicity. All other numbers are rounded to the nearest 0.1%.

Occurence 1x 10x 30x 100x 500x 1500x
Get At Least 1 Season 1 Hero 78.6% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Get At Least 1 Springvale Hero 21.4% 91.0% 99.9% 100% 100% 100%
Get At Least 1 5* (excluding HOTM Bonus Draw) 2.5% 22.4% 53.2% 92.0% 99.9% 100%
Get At Least 1 Springvale 5* 1.5% 14.0% 36.5% 77.9% 99.9% 100%
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Springvale 5* 0.5% 4.9% 14.0% 39.4% 91.8% 99.3%
Get At Least 1 Springvale 4* 5.7% 44.4% 82.8% 99.7% 100% 100%
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Springvale 4* 2.85% 25.0% 58.0% 94.5% 100% 100%
Get At Least 1 Springvale 3* 14.2% 78.4% 99.0% 100% 100% 100%
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Springvale 3* 7.1% 52.1% 89.0% 99.9% 100% 100%

Putting That in Perspective

  • :no_entry_sign: If 1 million players each did :one::zero: Summons, 776,000 of those players would NOT get a Springvale or Season 1 5* Hero

  • :no_entry_sign: If 1 million players each did :three::zero: Summons, 420,000 of those players would NOT get Lady Woolerton

  • :no_entry_sign: If 1 million players each did :one::zero::zero: Summons, 221,000 of those players would NOT get a Springvale 5* Hero

  • :no_entry_sign: If 1 million players each did :five::zero::zero: Summons, 82,000 of those players would NOT get Master Lepus


More Insights & Reading

I highly recommend reading these three threads for more information and context on summoning odds:

If you’ve read them a million times before, you may consider reading them again before deciding on your budget for summoning. A little time spent deciding on how much money you want to risk on summoning goes a long way to avoiding disappointment, frustration, and regret later. :slight_smile:


:link: Other Springvale 2021 Threads

11 Likes

I got Lady Woolerton on my seventh EHT pull. :heart_eyes: Saving rest of my EHTs for 1 April.

17 Likes

Saved 15 EHT
Worth it :grin:

23 Likes

Thanks to the decision NOT to release the costumes for these heroes, I can save my tokens for summer, where I am still missing few, and those are in more obvious need of a costume buff. Glad they listened to this part of feedback. Can’t wait for summer pulls, meanwhile good luck everyone hunting the Lady Bunny

9 Likes

16 Likes

No bunnies, but got Malicna

12 Likes

I don’t get this. Sorry. Easter heroes are awesome, not? Why wait till summer?

I have Killhare already, I don’t need Lepus and I don’t want Rostley. I also have all the rares and epics.

Meanwhile, on summer I only have Yunan. And we were told summer heroes will get costumes, which will probably make them much better than they are now.

1 Like

I got this from eleven pulls:

Perfect. I didn’t have any purple project.

19 Likes

Thx, great response.
Though if anyone doesn’t have as many Easter heroes, I think it’s better to pull now since you’ll get more chances for summer heroes once they are in the costume chamber

Last statement from Sg was, they won’t be in costume chamber, there will still only be S1 costumes.
All the other costumes are in the original portal, seasonal costumes - seasonal portal, hotm costumes - tavern of legends and so on.

I had some very questionable luck lately with summons, so this boosted my mood!


My first Lepus! Then I did a few more pulls and this happened! First Malicna!

I pulled Roostley last year. If I manage to pull Killhare I will Max them all, I think. These were the result of 30EHTs

21 Likes

Would u mind sharing ur opinion?

I have 0 heroes from sand and Easter, never pulled there. I’ve saved 40 tokens for Easter (in April for aiming on frosth).

Now I dunno. Would you wait for summer?

Extra info: green is my weakest color by far. June had the sand event & hotm is green and sounds good. I could aim for frosth but I have alasie at 1/1 too. I have no other green projects.

1 Like

I used my 12 saved tokens on this event:
Dawa, Nashgar, Valen, Greymane, Sabina, Oberon, Boldtusk, Berden, Prisca, Squire Rabbit, Kiril

In hindsight I should have waited until 1 April in hopes of a new Hotm

1 Like

First ( and only) 10 pull this morning :blush:

25 Likes

14 Tokens Used:

Chick Jr x 3 (new), Jack ’ o Hare (new) Rest S1 - Food

Update… Another Chick Jr… Yay :partying_face:

3 Likes

So nice, together with Killhare she’s on the wishlist. Got 16 eht saved up but hesistant to use them or wait till April. I don’t like either of the Hotm to be honest.

I saved 8EHT after Christmas event and did summons and got these 2 . Was I lucky ?

13 Likes

Main target was Killhare, and of course i’ve got Lepus (and Jack o’Hare).
Can’t complaint as i really like him, but i’m already good in blue department and emblemed my Alice just the other day.

I still max him right away because… he is so cool.

3 Likes

Easter pulls
Pretty happy, 24 coins, got Lady woolerton, one of the few 4* heroes I’m missing. The bunny of course is great, but I got one already last year, the other bunny or rostley would have been a little bit more desired, but I will probably still level the copy.

4 Likes

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