This thread is for information and discussion on the Springvale 2021 Summon Portal, and sharing Summon Results.
Springvale 2021 Appearance Rates
Summon odds are the same in 2020 as they were in 2021.
Appearance Rates
Click for OLD 2019 Springvale Appearance Rates, for comparison
OLD 2019 Springvale Appearance Rates
Classic Season 1 Heroes
- Rare Classic Hero: 56.8%
- Epic Classic Hero: 20.8%
- Legendary Classic Hero: 1.0%
Seasonal Heroes
- Rare Seasonal Hero: 14.2%
- Epic Seasonal Hero: 5.7%
- Legendary Seasonal Hero: 1.5%
BONUS DRAW
Legendary Hero of the Month: 1.3%
Epic Hero Tokens Can Be Used for Seasonal Summoning
The Seasonal Summons replaces the regular Epic Hero Summons.
Because of that, unlike Challenge Event Summons, the Summoning Portal for Seasonal Events allows using saved up Epic Hero Tokens that can otherwise normally only be used for Epic Hero Summons.
That makes Seasonal Events the only place you can currently use Epic Hero Tokens for a chance at non-Season 1 heroes.
You’ll also have the same chance at the HOTM as usual when using Epic Hero Tokens.
Summon Costs
- Single: 1 Epic Hero Token or 300 Gems
- 10x: 2600 Gems
Analysis of Summon Appearance Rates
This table shows the cumulative probability of different Summon events, based on a total number of Summons (1x, 10x, 30x, 100x, 500x, 1500x)
Please note that NO occurrence is ever actually 100%; the 100% entries in the table below indicate cumulative probabilities sufficiently close to 100% that they are expressed as such for simplicity. All other numbers are rounded to the nearest 0.1%.
| Occurence | 1x | 10x | 30x | 100x | 500x | 1500x |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Get At Least 1 Season 1 Hero | 78.6% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Get At Least 1 Springvale Hero | 21.4% | 91.0% | 99.9% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Get At Least 1 5* (excluding HOTM Bonus Draw) | 2.5% | 22.4% | 53.2% | 92.0% | 99.9% | 100% |
| Get At Least 1 Springvale 5* | 1.5% | 14.0% | 36.5% | 77.9% | 99.9% | 100% |
| Get At Least 1 of a Particular Springvale 5* | 0.5% | 4.9% | 14.0% | 39.4% | 91.8% | 99.3% |
| Get At Least 1 Springvale 4* | 5.7% | 44.4% | 82.8% | 99.7% | 100% | 100% |
| Get At Least 1 of a Particular Springvale 4* | 2.85% | 25.0% | 58.0% | 94.5% | 100% | 100% |
| Get At Least 1 Springvale 3* | 14.2% | 78.4% | 99.0% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Get At Least 1 of a Particular Springvale 3* | 7.1% | 52.1% | 89.0% | 99.9% | 100% | 100% |
Putting That in Perspective
-
If 1 million players each did 
Summons, 776,000 of those players would NOT get a Springvale or Season 1 5* Hero -
If 1 million players each did
Summons, 420,000 of those players would NOT get Lady Woolerton -
If 1 million players each did Summons, 221,000 of those players would NOT get a Springvale 5* Hero
-
If 1 million players each did
Summons, 82,000 of those players would NOT get Master Lepus
More Insights & Reading
I highly recommend reading these three threads for more information and context on summoning odds:
-
[WARNING] A Summons Experience - Chasing Guardian Panther - A Warning for Chasing Heroes
-
What exactly is a Gacha? (Read before posting things about "unfair pulls")
If you’ve read them a million times before, you may consider reading them again before deciding on your budget for summoning. A little time spent deciding on how much money you want to risk on summoning goes a long way to avoiding disappointment, frustration, and regret later. 
Other Springvale 2021 Threads
-
🐰 Springvale 2021: Teams, Strategy, FAQs, Discussion, and Links – Starts March 29
-
Hero Threads:
- 🐰 Killhare – 5* Dark/Purple from Springvale
- 🐰 Sir Roostley – 5* Holy/Yellow from Springvale
- 🐰 Master Lepus – 5* Ice/Blue from Springvale
- 🐰 Lady Woolerton – 4* Holy/Yellow from Springvale
- 🐰 Jack O'Hare – 4* Nature/Green from Springvale
- 🐰 Chick Jr. – 3* Ice/Blue from Springvale
- 🐰 Squire Wabbit – 3* Fire/Red from Springvale
Saving rest of my EHTs for 1 April.
