🎅 Portal Stats & Summon Results – Santa's Challenge (Christmas) 2020

[Guvnor]

This thread is for information and discussion on the Santa’s Challenge (Christmas) 2020 Summon Portal, and sharing Summon Results.

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Santa’s Challenge 2020 Appearance Rates

Appearance Rates

Click for OLD 2019 Santa's Challenge Appearance Rates, for comparison

OLD 2019 Christmas Appearance Rates

@zephyr1

Classic Season 1 Heroes

• Rare Classic Hero: 56.8%
• Epic Classic Hero: 20.8%
• Legendary Classic Hero: 1.0%

Seasonal Heroes

• Rare Seasonal Hero: 14.2%
• Epic Seasonal Hero: 5.7%
• Legendary Seasonal Hero: 1.5%

BONUS DRAW

Legendary Hero of the Month: 1.3%

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Epic Hero Tokens Can Be Used for Seasonal Summoning

The Seasonal Summons replaces the regular Epic Hero Summons.

Because of that, unlike Challenge Event Summons, the Summoning Portal for Seasonal Events allows using saved up Epic Hero Tokens that can otherwise normally only be used for Epic Hero Summons.

That makes Seasonal Events the only place you can currently use Epic Hero Tokens for a chance at non-Season 1 heroes.

You’ll also have the same chance at the HOTM as usual when using Epic Hero Tokens.

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Summon Costs

• Single: 1 Epic Hero Token or 300 Gems
• 10x: 2600 Gems

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Analysis of Summon Appearance Rates

This table shows the cumulative probability of different Summon events, based on a total number of Summons (1x, 10x, 30x, 100x, 500x, 1500x)

Please note that NO occurrence is ever actually 100%; the 100% entries in the table below indicate cumulative probabilities sufficiently close to 100% that they are expressed as such for simplicity. All other numbers are rounded to the nearest 0.1%.

Occurence	1x	10x	30x	100x	500x	1500x
Get At Least 1 Season 1 Hero	78.6%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Get At Least 1 Winter Hero	21.4%	91.0%	99.9%	100%	100%	100%
Get At Least 1 5* (excluding HOTM Bonus Draw)	2.5%	22.4%	53.2%	92.0%	99.9%	100%
Get At Least 1 Winter 5*	1.5%	14.0%	36.5%	77.9%	99.9%	100%
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Winter 5*	0.5%	4.9%	14.0%	39.4%	91.8%	99.3%
Get At Least 1 Winter 4*	5.7%	44.4%	82.8%	99.7%	100%	100%
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Winter 4*	2.85%	25.0%	58.0%	94.5%	100%	100%
Get At Least 1 Winter 3*	14.2%	78.4%	99.0%	100%	100%	100%
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Winter 3*	7.1%	52.1%	89.0%	99.9%	100%	100%

Putting That in Perspective

• If 1 million players each did Summons, 776,000 of those players would NOT get a Winter or Season 1 5* Hero

• If 1 million players each did Summons, 420,000 of those players would NOT get Carol

• If 1 million players each did Summons, 221,000 of those players would NOT get a Winter 5* Hero

• If 1 million players each did Summons, 82,000 of those players would NOT get Krampus

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Other 2020 Santa’s Challenge (Christmas) Threads

• 🎅 Santa's Challenge (Christmas) 2020 - Teams, Strategy, FAQs, Discussion, and Links – Starts December 01

• Hero Threads:
  • 🎅 Krampus -- 5* Ice/ Blue from Santa's Challenge (Winter)
  • 🎅 Mother North -- 5* Nature/ Green from Santa's Challenge (Winter)
  • 🎅 Santa Claus -- 5* Fire/ Red from Santa's Challenge (Winter)
  • 🎅 Buddy -- 4* Nature/ Green from Santa's Challenge (Winter)
  • 🎅 Carol -- 4* Fire/ Red from Santa's Challenge (Winter)
  • 🎅 Frosty - 3* Ice/ Blue from Santa's Challenge (Winter)
  • 🎅 Rudolph - 3* Fire/ Red from Santa's Challenge (Winter)

• 🎅 Offers Log & Discussion – Santa's Challenge (Christmas) 2020

[Guvnor]

Topic Closed & will automatically open when this event & portal starts.

[kaliope]

3xfrosty and 1 buddy in 14 pulls (and some s1 4s)- all new for me

Now how many frosties to keep i guess one is enough

[Liam_K]

The Christmas songs are playing in the background. I’ve got my Santa hat on…
6 EHTs, here we go

1st draw - Frosty! A 3 star healer. Now to level him up for the Tournament
2nd draw - Rudolph. Got one from last year
3rd draw - Frosty again…
4th draw - Hu Tao
5th draw - Tyrum
Last but not least - Jahangir, ouch

PS. @Guvnor points out the typo in the thread title

[TheBeastxGreat]

I got this using 1 EHT (I had only 1) . Is she worth to summon and what emblem path need to follow ?

[Meck]

8 EHTs, got Frosty, Carol and 1st Richard. Had hoped for Santa or Krampus but still a good reward

[kaliope]

Carol,rudolph and santa calus in second 10 pull, it could be mother north

[Suicide_Bunny]

Oh wow, had 15 ETH only and got Mother North from the very first. Then my 2nd Lianna around 5th. Also Frosty (new) and Buddy (food).

Merry Christmas to me I guess. Really wanted MN badly, I have no other character with ressurection. She’ll be very much welcome to replace Telluria in my green offensive stack. Poor Rat may have just lost his job.

[Radar1]

2 token pulls, Rigard annnnnnd

[Olmor]

4 eht and bam…

[slshadkt]

After spending 40+ EHTs at Halloween (and only getting Valeria) in my 2nd EHT pull I got Krampus! To say I was shocked is an understatement

[Fabinas]

26 EHT resulted in 2 Buddies, 4 Rudolphs, 2 Frosties and a Santa. Aso got 2x Reubens (bonus draw) and a Khagan (which i lacked, despite running 2x TC20 for 2 months (the first was running for another 5 on its own). Also various S1 3* & 4* i already had.

Too bad no Mother North, but not too shabby either.

[Slobix]

Had 7 EHT, no seasonal heros for me… Guess it will be few more this month, maybe something cool pop up eventually.

[Ituri]

I’m done.

First coin as you can see.

[Tidyup]

Got Santa and then a blue legendary! Drum roll…it’s Thorne!

[raider_Mike]

Used 3 EHTs and picked up Frosty, Berden, and Caedmon.

Look forward to using the 2 EHTs I’ll get from this seasonal event. Hoping to pick up either a HOTM or Buddy or MN or even Santa.

[ffphier]

15 tokens - Krampus, Ruben, Frosty, 2 Rudolph. Krampus was my main target. Still want MN or Buddy so I’ll keep using tokens as I get them.

[Tidyup]

I swear Thorne is my biggest troll for blues. Same nonsense during Avalon, I thought I got king Arthur, like seriously Thorne get the f out of here!