👑 [Jul 2020] Knights of Avalon Challenge Event – Guides, Discussion & Summoning Results

The Knights of Avalon Challenge Event!

Start Time End Time Duration
2020-07-09T07:00:00Z 2020-07-13T07:00:00Z 4.0 days

Note: Start & End times of the Challenge Event have changed. The event now begins 1 hour earlier (0700 UTC not 0800 UTC) & ends 13 hours earlier (0700 UTC not 2000 UTC).
Per Announcement: Event Schedule Changes (Version 30 Onwards)

Reflected Color
:snowflake: Ice/Blue

:world_map: @Mariamne & @cap’s Fantastic Stage Guide


:tada: @Mariamne’s Great Guide to Rewards

NOTE: Completion Rewards will be given even if the final stage is completed after the event ended, as long as it’s started before the event ends.


:woman_superhero: Heroes & Bosses

Black Knight – 5* – :fire: Fire

Guinevere – 5* – :sun_with_face: Holy

King Arthur – 5* – :snowflake: Ice

Lady of the Lake – 5* – :leaves: Nature

Morgan Le Fay – 5* – :leaves: Nature

Merlin – 4* – :new_moon_with_face: Dark

Sir Lancelot – 4* – :fire: Fire

Bauchan – 3* – :fire: Fire


:gem: Summons Costs

Like all other Event Summon Portals, the Portal Cost is per below:

Single Summon

  • 10 Challenge Coins
    OR
  • 300 Gems

10x Summon

  • 2600 Gems

:game_die: Summoning Appearance Rates

Please note that Challenge Event Heroes are amongst the lowest odds of any Hero in the game. Even with a large number of Summons, you are very likely not to get Challenge Event Heroes, particularly 5*.

I highly recommend setting and sticking to a budget for Summoning to avoid overspending and frustration.

APPEARANCE RATES
Rare Classic Hero: 63.1%
Epic Classic Hero: 20.8%
Legendary Classic Hero: 1.5%

Rare Event Hero: 7.9%
Epic Event Hero: 5.7%
Legendary Event Hero 1.0%

BONUS DRAW
Legendary Hero of the Month: 1.3%


:money_with_wings: Analysis of Summon Appearance Rates

This table shows the cumulative probability of different Summon events, based on a total number of Summons (1x, 10x, 30x, 100x, 500x, 1500x).

Please note that NO occurrence is ever actually 100%; the 100% entries in the table below indicate cumulative probabilities sufficiently close to 100% that they are expressed as such for simplicity. All other numbers are rounded to the nearest 0.1%.

|Occurence|1x|10x|30x|100x|500x|1500x|
|-|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:expressionless:
| Get at Least 1 Avalon Hero (3*-5*) | 14.6% | 79.4% | 99.1% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Get at Least 1 of Any 5* Avalon Hero | 1.0% | 9.6% | 26.0% | 63.4% | 99.3% | 100% |
| Get at Least 1 Particular 5* Avalon Hero | 0.2% | 2.0% | 5.8% | 18.1% | 63.2% | 95.0% |
| Get at Least 1 of Any 4* Avalon Hero | 5.7% | 44.4% | 82.8% | 99.7% | 100% | 100% |
| Get at Least 1 Particular 4* Avalon Hero | 2.85% | 25.1% | 58.0% | 94.5% | 100% | 100% |
| Get at Least 1 3* Avalon Hero | 7.9% | 56.1% | 91.5% | 99.9% | 100% | 100% |

Putting That In Perspective

  • If 1 million players each did 10 Summons, 206,000 of those players would NOT get ANY Avalon Heroes

  • If 1 million players each did 100 Summons, 366,000 of those players would NOT get ANY Avalon 5* Heroes

  • If 1 million players each did 500 Summons, 368,000 of those players would NOT get a particular Avalon 5* Hero


:link: Related Threads

Related Info:

Hero Threads:

Previous Threads:

17 Likes

I know most people will go red but given blue and green will predominate green teams should be the order of the day. But green being weak against the Black Knight means I guess I’ll go red too.

No miki with blue reflecting, but I have 2x proteus so i should be fine lol

All events always start on the 1st Wednesday so has it changed or maybe it would be a mistake in the calendar?

Per the Note I made in the OP & quoting from the linked Official SGG Announcement on the topic:

3 Likes

The quote says it will start in Thursday instead of Wednesday :wink:

Thanks for the great post @Guvnor !
I’m a bit ashamed to say that I have all the event heroes, excluding Black Knight. So I will not be doing any pulls this time around because the chance that I specifically pull him is astronomically small…
I remember being so happy to pull Guin when she was the alpha-tank back in the day. Nowadays she is pining for action while being on my yellow bench. Hel got her wizard emblems and Guin only sees some action in wars against purple tanks, but since Telly we don’t see those often. Well, it was good while it lasted!

4 Likes

I, on the other hand, will definitely pull for this special event. I don’t have any Avalon legendary and I am praying I nab Black Knight and/or Lady of the Lake using some 228 challenge coins (maybe plus more if I encounter the mysterious chest and from rewards). I don’t fancy owning Guinevere anymore (unlike the days of yore) and I have Frida in lieu of King Arthur. Morgan Le Fay has a cool, sexy art but I think she gives me nightmares when I sleep. But I hope to get those two, crossing my fingers…

3 Likes

Pretty sure it starts tomorrow, not today :smiley:

We are in the same boat. I do not have any legendary Avalon hero either. My dream hero is as well Black Knight and 2nd one would be LoTL. I do not want Arthur because I am short on scopes and they are reserved for c. Magni, Morgana would be a nice addition but I do not really want her too much. Guinevere is still a decent tank but honestly, her time has passed. The class do not suit her tank role so it would be a waste of emblems as well.

But tbh, any 5* Avalon hero is at least decent.

Meant to start on Thursday though.

Start Time End Time Duration
Thursday at 8:00 AM July 13, 2020 8:00 AM 4.0 days
2 Likes

I only have lancelot and bauchan

Thursday actually. But it’s a carry over & I don’t have time to keep updating the tense used in the one phrase.

2 Likes

Thx, just woke up. Pity about this though|

1 Like

Thx, don’t sweat it. You’re doing a lot, was just a little surprised as that is what jumps at you when one opens the page. No one reads fine print :stuck_out_tongue:

1 Like

How the queen was simply dethroned! Now the Knight is more preferred…:thinking:

2 Likes

I always want Guin, no matter how obsolete she is now. I will be happy if I pull her. Heck I’ll be happy with ANY avalon heroes not named Merlin (have 2 already). But considering I only have 2 or maybe 3 chance to pull with free coins, I won’t be surprise if i got another Dawas…

I only want Black Knight, Guinevere and Lady of The Lake … that’s all … just those three

1 Like

The only challenge event I wasn’t able to finish, also the only one I don’t have any heroes from. This time I will have much to prove to myself.

2 Likes

So just like me…ONLY want Quin,BK,LoL and Morgana…
:joy:

1 Like