📯 [October 2020] Portal Stats & Summon Results – Season 3 (Valhalla)

This thread is for information and discussion on the October 2020 Season 3 Valhalla Summon Portal, and sharing Summon Results.

:spiral_calendar: Schedule

Start Time End Time Duration
2020-10-22T07:00:00Z 2020-10-25T19:00:00Z 3.5 days

Featured Hero #beta-beat Thread Forum Hero Thread
Gefjon Gefjon Beta Beat Forum Thread
V31 Beta Beat
Gefjon Release Thread
Publishes on the 22nd

:game_die: Season 3 Valhalla Portal Appearance Rates

image

Classic Season 1 Heroes

  • Rare Classic Hero: 19.6%
  • Epic Classic Hero: 11.9%
  • Legendary Classic Hero: 0.9%

Season 3 Heroes

  • Rare Season III Hero: 51.4%
  • Epic Season III Hero: 14.6%
  • Legendary Season III Hero: 1.3%* *non-featured

Featured Hero

  • Legendary Featured ‘Gefjon’: 0.3%

BONUS DRAW

  • Legendary Hero of the Month: 1.3%

:money_with_wings: Analysis of Summon Appearance Rates

This table shows the cumulative probability of different Summon events, based on a total number of Summons (1x, 10x, 30x, 100x, 500x, 1500x)

Please note that NO occurrence is ever actually 100%; the 100% entries in the table below indicate cumulative probabilities sufficiently close to 100% that they are expressed as such for simplicity. All other numbers are rounded to the nearest 0.1%.

Monetary Cost Listed working off Gems cost $99.99 US for 10,000. A 30x Summons costs $83.99 US.

Occurence 1x 10x 30x 100x 500x 1500x
US$ Cost of Summons Cost $3.49 $30 $84 $282 $1428 $7139
Get At Least 1 Season 1 Hero 32.4% 98.0% 99.9% 100% 100% 100%
Get At Least 1 Season 3 Hero 67.6% 99.9% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Get At Least 1 5* (excluding HOTM Bonus Draw) 2.5% 22.4% 53.2% 92.0% 99.9% 100%
Get At Least 1 Season 3 5* 1.6% 14.9% 38.4% 80.0% 99.9% 100%
Get At Least 1 of Featured Season 3 Hero 0.3% 3.0% 8.6% 26.0% 77.7% 98.9%
Get At Least 1 Non-Featured Season 3 5* 1.3% 12.3% 32.5% 73.0% 99.9% 100%
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Non-Featured Season 3 5* 0.1% 0.99% 2.96% 9.52% 39.36% 77.70%
Get At Least 1 Season 3 4* 14.6% 79.4% 99.1% 100% 100% 100%
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Season 3 4* 1.46% 13.7% 35.7% 77.0% 99.9% 100%
Get At Least 1 Season 3 3* 51.4% 99.9% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Season 3 3* 5.14% 41.0% 79.5% 99.5% 100% 100%
Archive of Odds from Previous Months with Fewer Heroes in the Pool

September 2020

September 2020 had 12 Non-Featured Legendary Heroes.

Occurence 1x 10x 30x 100x 500x 1500x
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Non-Featured Season 3 5* 0.11% 1.08% 3.20% 10.27% 41.84% 80.33%

August 2020

August 2020 had 11 Non-Featured Legendary Heroes.

Occurence 1x 10x 30x 100x 500x 1500x
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Non-Featured Season 3 5* 0.12% 1.18% 3.49% 11.15% 44.64% 83.03%

July 2020

July 2020 had 10 Non-Featured Legendary Heroes.

Occurence 1x 10x 30x 100x 500x 1500x
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Non-Featured Season 3 5* 0.13% 1.29% 3.84% 12.20% 47.82% 85.79%

June 2020

June 2020 had 9 Non-Featured Legendary Heroes.

Occurence 1x 10x 30x 100x 500x 1500x
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Non-Featured Season 3 5* 0.1444% 1.4% 4.2% 13.5% 51.5% 88.6%

May 2020

May 2020 had 8 Non-Featured Legendary Heroes.

Occurence 1x 10x 30x 100x 500x 1500x
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Non-Featured Season 3 5* 0.1625% 1.6% 4.8% 15.0% 55.7% 91.3%

April 2020

April 2020 had 7 Non-Featured Legendary Heroes, 5 Epic Heroes, and 5 Rare Heroes.

Occurence 1x 10x 30x 100x 500x 1500x
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Non-Featured Season 3 5* 0.19% 1.8% 5.4% 17.0% 60.5% 93.8%
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Season 3 4* 2.92% 25.6% 58.9% 94.8% 100% 100%
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Season 3 3* 10.28% 66.2% 96.1% 99.9% 100% 100%

March 2020

March 2020 had 6 Non-Featured Legendary Heroes.

Occurence 1x 10x 30x 100x 500x 1500x
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Non-Featured Season 3 5* 0.22% 2.1% 6.3% 19.5% 66.2% 96.1%

February 2020

February 2020 had 5 Non-Featured Legendary Heroes.

Occurence 1x 10x 30x 100x 500x 1500x
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Non-Featured Season 3 5* 0.26% 2.6% 7.5% 22.9% 72.8% 98.0%

Putting That in Perspective

Gems cost $99.99 US for 10,000. A 30x Summons costs $83.99 US.

  • If 1 million players each spent $30 USD & did 10 Summons, 776,000 of those players would NOT get a Season 3 or Season 1 5 Hero*

  • If 1 million players each spent $281.97 USD & did 100 Summons, 200,000 of those players would NOT get a Season 3 5 Hero*

  • If 1 million players each spent $1,427.86 USD & did 500 Summons, 223,000 of those players would NOT get the Featured Season 3 5 Hero*


:framed_picture: Graphical Odds Explained

A good summary graphic on what you can expect from the various summons portals by @Dorkus:


:dizzy: Bonus Ascension Material Chest

image

Much like the Season II Atlantis Summon Portal, the Season III Valhalla Summon Portal features a Bonus Ascension Material Chest, which contains a guaranteed Rare or Epic Ascension Material, and can also contain Rare and Epic Crafting Materials.

Also like Season II, the Bonus Chest fills with each 10 Summons, and there is a limit of 9 Chests per event.

Your progress towards the next chest also carries over to the next Valhalla Summon event if you still have chests in stock, just like with the Atlantis Summon.

:gem: Summon Costs

The Summon Costs for the Valhalla Portal currently match the Atlantis Portal:

  • Single Summon: 100 Valhalla Coins or 350 Gems
  • Summon x10: 3000 Gems
  • Summon x30: 8400 Gems

:hammer: Valhalla Coins

Also like Season 2, the first time a Stage is completed, a reward is given in Valhalla Coins — which are just like Atlantis Coins, but for Season 3.

Just the same as Season 2, Normal Mode Stages reward 3 Valhalla Coins, and Hard Mode Stages reward 5 Valhalla Coins — and there are 10 Stages per Province, so it’ll be the same 80 Coins per Province that Season 2 has.

Also like Atlantis Coins, 100 Valhalla Coins are required for a free Valhalla Summon.

As of Version 28, Valhalla Coins are also available in some loot:



:link: Related Threads

Historical Valhalla Portal Threads:

Beta & Announcements

3 Likes

Forget to change this to Gefjon, @Guvnor?

1 Like

Thanks :slight_smile: I run a find before posting but searched for Bera whom I templated from haha

2 Likes

Haha. No worries. Just been saving coins for a few months to target Gefjon, or I probably wouldn’t have noticed. I’m sure I won’t get her with 15-16 pulls, but Mist, Guillinbursti, and/or Almur would make nice consolation prizes.

4 Likes

I was the same for Bera last month & got Diddley Squat haha…

Well I got other heroes but just no Bera.

Bera looks great, but I already had a legendary purple project for my next set of tabards. In red, I’m down to ascending Khagan if something doesn’t turn up soon! Gonna do a second Boldtusk with costume (and maybe a third) to wait it out and see if Gefjon, Reuben, or Santa turn up between now and the end of the year.

Will be back tomorrow to either celebrate my shiny new Gefjon or drown my sorrows in bitter comments about RNG and summon odds. :stuck_out_tongue: Have been saving Valhalla coins and gems for months now, really need a red sniper.

7 Likes

I got Skadi and she turned my Raid strategy from ‘avoid Telluria’ to ‘target Telluria’. Surprisingly works too. Arguably Telluria’s nerf helped too, as Skadi can now oneshot two waves of her minions. Cannot wait until she’ll get more emblems (currently at +5).

As for Gefjon, will try for her since I still don’t have Marjana (after year running 3 TCs 20 and 3 more months of running 2TCs 20). Though since I have HA output scheduled for tomorrow as well that might change.

I have 600 Valhalla coins , plus some offers that i can get , i may be able to do pulls. I dont know if i want . Gefjon is one of the best Valhalla heroes and reds overall however my reds are not that bad with JF, Grazul, Mitsuko and Elena and the new adquisition Garnet from Ninjas. So theres a lot of work yet ahead with my reds. On the other hand i could wait to the end of Valhalla and hoard more coins to try to get Heimdall or Frigg(green is my weakest colour) or even try for thor or Odin or another hero, if sg adds more heroes to the end of the s3.

1 Like

Had 1700 valhala coins, 10th pull, yes!
My second red 5*, after Noor. So happy ^^

26 Likes

No S3 for me but looooool

10 Likes

10-pull + 1500 saved coins… No Gefjon, or any other 5*… Oh well. I accept I’m not the luckiest guy around…

1 Like

4th pull of the event:


Happy with this, but praying for a certain fiery hero to come through that portal…

8 Likes

400 Valhalla coins



I am shocked… Did not think it could be possible for me. :hear_no_evil:

She is my 2nd 5* S3 (Got Fenrir in may)

17 Likes

Argh! Spent 400 Valhalla coins and I finally got another 5* hero after a long time and all I got is yet another Vivica! :weary:

1 Like

What did I get from the 3600 Valhalla coins I saved for Gefjon? Try to guess.
Nothing! Completely NOTHING!

sumle
friar tuck
nashgar
mireweave
kvasir
bjorn
bane
by-ulf
colen
sudri

All dupes. Not keeping any. All fed to Magni.

1 Like

I feel so lucky to get her only from my 6th pull.
:smiling_face_with_three_hearts: :stuck_out_tongue_winking_eye:

15 Likes

Got Kvasir again, Prisca and Renfeld. Ah, well, next month :four_leaf_clover:

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