📯 [January 2021] Portal Stats & Summon Results – Season 3 (Valhalla)

This thread is for information and discussion on the January 2021 Season 3 Valhalla Summon Portal, and sharing Summon Results.

:spiral_calendar: Schedule

Start Time End Time Duration
2021-01-28T07:00:00Z 2021-02-01T19:00:00Z 3.5 days

Note - Feburary HotM will NOT be available during the Jan21 Valhalla Portal Window


Featured Hero #beta-beat Thread Forum Hero Thread
Thor Thor Beta Beat Forum Thread
V31 Beta Beat
Thor Release Thread
Publishes on the 28th

:game_die: Season 3 Valhalla Portal Appearance Rates

image

Classic Season 1 Heroes

  • Rare Classic Hero: 19.6%
  • Epic Classic Hero: 11.9%
  • Legendary Classic Hero: 0.9%

Season 3 Heroes

  • Rare Season III Hero: 51.4%
  • Epic Season III Hero: 14.6%
  • Legendary Season III Hero: 1.3%* *non-featured

Featured Hero

  • Legendary Featured ‘Thor’: 0.3%

BONUS DRAW

  • Legendary Hero of the Month: 1.3%

:money_with_wings: Analysis of Summon Appearance Rates

This table shows the cumulative probability of different Summon events, based on a total number of Summons (1x, 10x, 30x, 100x, 500x, 1500x)

Please note that NO occurrence is ever actually 100%; the 100% entries in the table below indicate cumulative probabilities sufficiently close to 100% that they are expressed as such for simplicity. All other numbers are rounded to the nearest 0.1%.

Monetary Cost Listed working off Gems cost $99.99 US for 10,000. A 30x Summons costs $83.99 US.

Occurence 1x 10x 30x 100x 500x 1500x
US$ Cost of Summons Cost $3.49 $30 $84 $282 $1428 $7139
Get At Least 1 Season 1 Hero 32.4% 98.0% 99.9% 100% 100% 100%
Get At Least 1 Season 3 Hero 67.6% 99.9% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Get At Least 1 5* (excluding HOTM Bonus Draw) 2.5% 22.4% 53.2% 92.0% 99.9% 100%
Get At Least 1 Season 3 5* 1.6% 14.9% 38.4% 80.0% 99.9% 100%
Get At Least 1 of Featured Season 3 Hero 0.3% 3.0% 8.6% 26.0% 77.7% 98.9%
Get At Least 1 Non-Featured Season 3 5* 1.3% 12.3% 32.5% 73.0% 99.9% 100%
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Non-Featured Season 3 5* 0.08% 0.81% 2.41% 7.81% 33.40% 70.45%
Get At Least 1 Season 3 4* 14.6% 79.4% 99.1% 100% 100% 100%
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Season 3 4* 1.46% 13.7% 35.7% 77.0% 99.9% 100%
Get At Least 1 Season 3 3* 51.4% 99.9% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Season 3 3* 5.14% 41.0% 79.5% 99.5% 100% 100%
Archive of Odds from Previous Months with Fewer Heroes in the Pool

December 2020

December 2020 had 15 Non-Featured Legendary Heroes.

Occurence 1x 10x 30x 100x 500x 1500x
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Non-Featured Season 3 5* 0.09% 0.86% 2.57% 8.31% 35.18% 72.76%

November 2020

November 2020 had 14 Non-Featured Legendary Heroes.

Occurence 1x 10x 30x 100x 500x 1500x
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Non-Featured Season 3 5* 0.09% 0.92% 2.75% 8.87% 37.16% 75.18%

October 2020

October 2020 had 13 Non-Featured Legendary Heroes.

Occurence 1x 10x 30x 100x 500x 1500x
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Non-Featured Season 3 5* 0.1% 0.99% 2.96% 9.52% 39.36% 77.70%

September 2020

September 2020 had 12 Non-Featured Legendary Heroes.

Occurence 1x 10x 30x 100x 500x 1500x
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Non-Featured Season 3 5* 0.11% 1.08% 3.20% 10.27% 41.84% 80.33%

August 2020

August 2020 had 11 Non-Featured Legendary Heroes.

Occurence 1x 10x 30x 100x 500x 1500x
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Non-Featured Season 3 5* 0.12% 1.18% 3.49% 11.15% 44.64% 83.03%

July 2020

July 2020 had 10 Non-Featured Legendary Heroes.

Occurence 1x 10x 30x 100x 500x 1500x
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Non-Featured Season 3 5* 0.13% 1.29% 3.84% 12.20% 47.82% 85.79%

June 2020

June 2020 had 9 Non-Featured Legendary Heroes.

Occurence 1x 10x 30x 100x 500x 1500x
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Non-Featured Season 3 5* 0.1444% 1.4% 4.2% 13.5% 51.5% 88.6%

May 2020

May 2020 had 8 Non-Featured Legendary Heroes.

Occurence 1x 10x 30x 100x 500x 1500x
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Non-Featured Season 3 5* 0.1625% 1.6% 4.8% 15.0% 55.7% 91.3%

April 2020

April 2020 had 7 Non-Featured Legendary Heroes, 5 Epic Heroes, and 5 Rare Heroes.

Occurence 1x 10x 30x 100x 500x 1500x
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Non-Featured Season 3 5* 0.19% 1.8% 5.4% 17.0% 60.5% 93.8%
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Season 3 4* 2.92% 25.6% 58.9% 94.8% 100% 100%
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Season 3 3* 10.28% 66.2% 96.1% 99.9% 100% 100%

March 2020

March 2020 had 6 Non-Featured Legendary Heroes.

Occurence 1x 10x 30x 100x 500x 1500x
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Non-Featured Season 3 5* 0.22% 2.1% 6.3% 19.5% 66.2% 96.1%

February 2020

February 2020 had 5 Non-Featured Legendary Heroes.

Occurence 1x 10x 30x 100x 500x 1500x
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Non-Featured Season 3 5* 0.26% 2.6% 7.5% 22.9% 72.8% 98.0%

Putting That in Perspective

Gems cost $99.99 US for 10,000. A 30x Summons costs $83.99 US.

  • If 1 million players each spent $30 USD & did 10 Summons, 776,000 of those players would NOT get a Season 3 or Season 1 5 Hero*

  • If 1 million players each spent $281.97 USD & did 100 Summons, 200,000 of those players would NOT get a Season 3 5 Hero*

  • If 1 million players each spent $1,427.86 USD & did 500 Summons, 223,000 of those players would NOT get the Featured Season 3 5 Hero*


:framed_picture: Graphical Odds Explained

A good summary graphic on what you can expect from the various summons portals by @Dorkus:


:dizzy: Bonus Ascension Material Chest

image

Much like the Season II Atlantis Summon Portal, the Season III Valhalla Summon Portal features a Bonus Ascension Material Chest, which contains a guaranteed Rare or Epic Ascension Material, and can also contain Rare and Epic Crafting Materials.

Also like Season II, the Bonus Chest fills with each 10 Summons, and there is a limit of 9 Chests per event.

Your progress towards the next chest also carries over to the next Valhalla Summon event if you still have chests in stock, just like with the Atlantis Summon.

:gem: Summon Costs

The Summon Costs for the Valhalla Portal currently match the Atlantis Portal:

  • Single Summon: 100 Valhalla Coins or 350 Gems
  • Summon x10: 3000 Gems
  • Summon x30: 8400 Gems

:hammer: Valhalla Coins

Also like Season 2, the first time a Stage is completed, a reward is given in Valhalla Coins — which are just like Atlantis Coins, but for Season 3.

Just the same as Season 2, Normal Mode Stages reward 3 Valhalla Coins, and Hard Mode Stages reward 5 Valhalla Coins — and there are 10 Stages per Province, so it’ll be the same 80 Coins per Province that Season 2 has.

Also like Atlantis Coins, 100 Valhalla Coins are required for a free Valhalla Summon.

As of Version 28, Valhalla Coins are also available in some loot:



:link: Related Threads

Historical Valhalla Portal Threads:

Click for historical Valhalla threads
7 Likes

What are the featured heroes apart from Thor.

None.

This is not “Valhalla forever” yet. Still the same setup as we have had for all the previous “Valhalla” portals to date.

2 Likes

This will quite likely be my goodbye pulls for Valhalla. I’ve saved enough gems for a 30x pull, there are some coins expected from the offers, farming and finishing the whole season - so at least 50 pulls through the event, depending on whether I’ll surrender to the last day offer.

So to summarize - my current legendary heroes from the season are; Ratatoskr, Alfrike, Lady Loki, Gefjon, Freya, Fenrir. Especially happy with Alfrike and Gefjon, definitely my personal most favourite heroes from Valhalla and glad they are already in my pocket.

Wouldn’t mind still pulling Lord Loki and Thor. Maybe Frigg. The rest I can survive without. So probably, similarly to Atlantis, I will no longer pull with gems here, moving that on to the future adventures, and just stick to lucky coin pulls with whatever scarce of these is farmable in the game for free or as side effect of buying certain cheap gem offers.

Hope the portal treats me kindly for the farewell. :+1: :crossed_fingers:

10 Likes

Hi @Guvnor,
the “January Featured Hero” web link, this doesn’t work:
" Oops! That page doesn’t exist or is private."
Best wishes, :slight_smile:

I know.
Read the text under the link.

1 Like

My 5 coin pulls were extremely lucky, 2 legendary heros! Unfortunately, no real value added there. My 3rd Fenrir and 2nd Obakan.

11 Likes

I pulled this guy with coins. Extremely happy about him as i wanted to replace Telluria.

16 Likes

Had some tokens gotten from completing the map.

I’m pretty happy with my first non-S1 / HOTM 5* hero.

I was only looking for the pig to help me finish the S3.

Anyone knows if the last province is unlocked or if we need to wait one more month?

14 Likes

I PULLED THOR OMG!

HERO I CREATED!!! THIS WAS SURELY A GIFT FROM SG! :smiley:

I didnt wish to spend anything since im saving gems for costumes… but inner feeling said you will get him… third pull/ push from tokens, my BABY CAME :smiley:

I am now officially sold soul hahah :smiley:

24 Likes

Happy for @Slobix, @Mr.Sabaton and @Nexus1254!

Just want to share my “normal luck” summons too. To the forum lurkers, read the summoning odds if you haven’t already. I expected 3*, and that’s what I got. :joy:

Note: As a vc2p player, I relied mostly on farmed Atlantis coins and I still don’t have a S2 5*. In fact, I never got any 5* from Atlantis summoning portal. :sweat_smile:

So, if I do finish S3, I definitely don’t expect to get a S3 5*. The reason I write this: just to share a realistic outcome. :grinning_face_with_smiling_eyes:

13 Likes

I had 6 pulls from accumulated coins.

  • Magni (yay!)
  • Colen (dupe)
  • 4 dupe 3-stars

image

2 Likes

This is why I made sure to write this:

I was also very unlucky, but my unluck seems to have a reason: I only spend on VIP / PoV pass.

1 Like

I hope, somehow, you get Magni’s costume soon. :four_leaf_clover:

Note - Feburary HotM will NOT be available during the Jan21 Valhalla Portal Window

Why not ? The Valhalla event ends in February 1st so the new HotM should be available by then.

I buy selected (not all) discounted VIP, and all Share the gems deals. I’ve never bought POV.

I think it might help, if we can view “unlucky” as normal, expected summoning outcome. At least, for me anyway.

I spend little, so I try to enjoy whatever I can get. :grinning_face_with_smiling_eyes: If I can get one new epic hero next month I will be happy.

1 Like

Got my early pulls out of the way. With coins, I got a duplicate Nordri and a new Kvasir. Using gems, I shockingly got Lady Loki.

2 Likes

Thanks, I know I was a very lucky man. Pitty it didn’t transfer to happiness, because I really have no use for those rare heros I’ve got. They are rare, but in my roster they are just making crowd, living on social assistance. :joy:

2 Likes

Saved coins and gems for months…23pulls…only 3* and 4*, all dupes of course

1 Like

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