πŸ“˜ [MASTER] Fables of Grimforest Challenge Event – Guides, Discussion & Summoning Results

The Fables of Grimforest Challenge Event!!

NOTE: This thread is a MASTER thread & no longer is published specific to a given event appearing.

Start Time End Time Duration
Thursday at 07:00 UTC Monday at 07:00 UTC 4.0 days

Check out calendar and digital_calendar for dates on when the monthly challenge event is appearing.

Reflected Color
:fire: Fire/ Red

:world_map: @Mariamne & @cap’s Original Stage Guide

Rewards Summary

Credit: @Mariamne
Source: 🌟 Memento Challenge Events - #2 by Mariamne

Click for Rewards Summary by Mariamne

NOTE: Completion Rewards will be given even if the final stage is completed after the event ended, as long as it’s started before the event ends.

:world_map: Alternative Guides

Transcript Guide to β€œCopy Paste” into In-Game Chat

Credit: @FighterJack
Source: πŸ“˜ [May 2020] Fables of Grimforest Challenge Event – Guides, Discussion & Summoning Results - #20 by FighterJack

Expand to copy into game chat

Fables of Grimforest
Reflected: :elementfire:
[#a569bd]BW = Boss Wolf
[#ff2508]PiB = Puss in Boots
[#ff2508]RH = Red Hood
[#4396ff]R = Rumpelstiltskin
[#4396ff]SW = Snow White
[#f4d03f]G = Gretel
[#10ff18]H = Hansel
[#f4d03f]P = Pixie

Format:
Element(s) for waves 1 & 2 / Boss stage in order
1: :elementfire::elementice: / :elementice: [#f4d03f]P :elementice:
[#ffffff]2: :elementfire::elementnature: / :elementfire: [#f4d03f]G :elementfire:
[#ffffff]3: :elementfire::elementnature: / :elementnature: [#10ff18]H :elementnature:
[#ffffff]4: :elementfire::elementdark: / :elementfire: [#a569bd]BW :elementfire:
[#ffffff]5: :elementfire::elementdark: / :elementdark: [#4396ff]R :elementdark:

6: :elementfire::elementice: / :elementfire: [#4396ff]SW :elementfire:
[#ffffff]7: :elementfire::elementice: / :elementice: [#ff2508]PiB :elementice:
[#ffffff]8: :elementfire::elementdark: / :elementfire: [#ff2508]RH :elementfire:
[#ffffff]9: :elementfire::elementnature: / [#f4d03f]G P [#10ff18]H
[#ffffff]10: :elementfire::elementdark: / [#ff2508]PiB [#10ff18]H

11: :elementfire::elementnature: / [#f4d03f]G [#4396ff]SW
[#ffffff]12: :elementfire: / [#a569bd]BW [#4396ff]R
[#ffffff]13: :elementice::elementnature: / [#f4d03f]P [#ff2508]RH [#10ff18]H
[#ffffff]14: :elementfire: / [#f4d03f]G [#4396ff]SW R
[#ffffff]15: :elementice::elementdark: / [#ff2508]PiB RH [#a569bd]BW

Overall Event Summary by @VeryQuietly

Credit: @VeryQuietly
Source: Quick Reference Sheet and Graphics for Events, HOTM, hero types, summon portals, cost comparison

Click for Summary of All Events

Guide by @Zartanis

Credit: @Zartanis
Source: {Master - Zartanis' Guides} Building, Crafting, Event, Talent Grid Guides, etc

Click for Quick Guide

Click for Full Guide inc. Boss/ Mob HP's

Guide by @ColdHands

Credit: @ColdHands
Source: Challenge Events by CH

Click for guide (inc. Boss HP)


:gem: Summons Costs

Like all other Event Summon Portals, the Portal Cost is per below:

Single Summon

  • 10 Challenge Coins
    OR
  • 300 Gems

10x Summon

  • 2600 Gems

:game_die: Summoning Appearance Rates

Please note that Challenge Event Heroes are amongst the lowest odds of any Hero in the game. Even with a large number of Summons, you are very likely not to get Challenge Event Heroes, particularly 5*.

I highly recommend setting and sticking to a budget for Summoning to avoid overspending and frustration.

APPEARANCE RATES
Rare Classic Hero: 63.1%
Epic Classic Hero: 20.8%
Legendary Classic Hero: 1.5%

Rare Event Hero: 7.9%
Epic Event Hero: 5.7%
Legendary Event Hero 1.0%

BONUS DRAW
Legendary Hero of the Month: 1.3%


:money_with_wings: Analysis of Summon Appearance Rates

This table shows the cumulative probability of different Summon events, based on a total number of Summons (1x, 10x, 30x, 100x, 500x, 1500x). Based on 10,000 gems costing 99.99 USD, I have also added an approximate $ cost too.

Please note that NO occurrence is ever actually 100%; the 100% entries in the table below indicate cumulative probabilities sufficiently close to 100% that they are expressed as such for simplicity. All other numbers are rounded to the nearest 0.1%.

|Occurence|1x
US$3.00|10x
US$26.00|30x
US$77.99|100x
US$259.97|500x
US$1,299.87|1500x
US$3,899.61|
|-|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:expressionless:
| Get at Least 1 Fables Hero (3*-5*) | 14.6% | 79.4% | 99.1% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Get at Least 1 of Any 5* Fables Hero | 1.0% | 9.6% | 26.0% | 63.4% | 99.3% | 100% |
| Get at Least 1 Particular 5* Fables Hero | 0.2% | 2.0% | 5.8% | 18.1% | 63.2% | 95.0% |
| Get at Least 1 of Any 4* Fables Hero | 5.7% | 44.4% | 82.8% | 99.7% | 100% | 100% |
| Get at Least 1 Particular 4* Fables Hero | 2.85% | 25.1% | 58.0% | 94.5% | 100% | 100% |
| Get at Least 1 3* Fables Hero | 7.9% | 56.1% | 91.5% | 99.9% | 100% | 100% |

Putting That In Perspective

  • If 1 million players each spent US$26.00 to do 10 Summons, 206,000 of those players would NOT get ANY Fables Heroes

  • If 1 million players each spent US$259.97 to do 100 Summons, 366,000 of those players would NOT get ANY Fables 5* Heroes

  • If 1 million players each spent US$1,299.87 to do 500 Summons, 368,000 of those players would NOT get a particular Fables 5* Hero

Summary Graphic of Portal Odds

See below amazing summary graphic by @Dorkus showing what odds you can really expect from the various summons portals in the game:


:link: Related Threads

Related Info:

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