📘 [Oct 2020] Fables of Grimforest Challenge Event – Guides, Discussion & Summoning Results

The Fables of Grimforest Challenge Event!!

NOTE: This thread is being posted 1 WEEK before the start of the event to facilitate early discussions. Table below has full dates & times
Sorry is a touch late this time.

Start Time End Time Duration
2020-10-08T07:00:00Z 2020-10-12T07:00:00Z 4.0 days

Note: Start & End times of the Challenge Event have changed. The event now begins 1 hour earlier (0700 UTC not 0800 UTC) & ends 13 hours earlier (0700 UTC not 2000 UTC).
Per Announcement: Event Schedule Changes (Version 30 Onwards)

Reflected Color
:fire: Fire/ Red

:world_map: @Mariamne’s Fantastic Stage Guide

Link to pre-written & formatted “text” version to post to “in-game” chat by @FighterJack – Credit @FighterJack

Expand to copy into game chat

Fables of Grimforest
Reflected: :elementfire:
[#a569bd]BW = Boss Wolf
[#ff2508]PiB = Puss in Boots
[#ff2508]RH = Red Hood
[#4396ff]R = Rumpelstiltskin
[#4396ff]SW = Snow White
[#f4d03f]G = Gretel
[#10ff18]H = Hansel
[#f4d03f]P = Pixie

Format:
Element(s) for waves 1 & 2 / Boss stage in order
1: :elementfire::elementice: / :elementice: [#f4d03f]P :elementice:
[#ffffff]2: :elementfire::elementnature: / :elementfire: [#f4d03f]G :elementfire:
[#ffffff]3: :elementfire::elementnature: / :elementnature: [#10ff18]H :elementnature:
[#ffffff]4: :elementfire::elementdark: / :elementfire: [#a569bd]BW :elementfire:
[#ffffff]5: :elementfire::elementdark: / :elementdark: [#4396ff]R :elementdark:

6: :elementfire::elementice: / :elementfire: [#4396ff]SW :elementfire:
[#ffffff]7: :elementfire::elementice: / :elementice: [#ff2508]PiB :elementice:
[#ffffff]8: :elementfire::elementdark: / :elementfire: [#ff2508]RH :elementfire:
[#ffffff]9: :elementfire::elementnature: / [#f4d03f]G P [#10ff18]H
[#ffffff]10: :elementfire::elementdark: / [#ff2508]PiB [#10ff18]H

11: :elementfire::elementnature: / [#f4d03f]G [#4396ff]SW
[#ffffff]12: :elementfire: / [#a569bd]BW [#4396ff]R
[#ffffff]13: :elementice::elementnature: / [#f4d03f]P [#ff2508]RH [#10ff18]H
[#ffffff]14: :elementfire: / [#f4d03f]G [#4396ff]SW R
[#ffffff]15: :elementice::elementdark: / [#ff2508]PiB RH [#a569bd]BW


:tada: @cap & @Mariamne’s Great Guide to Rewards

NOTE: Completion Rewards will be given even if the final stage is completed after the event ended, as long as it’s started before the event ends.


:woman_superhero: Heroes & Bosses

Boss Wolf – 5* – :new_moon_with_face: Dark

Red Hood – 5* – :fire: Fire

Rumpelstiltskin – 5* – :snowflake: Ice

Snow White – 5* – :snowflake: Ice

Puss in Boots – 5* – :fire: Fire

Gretel – 4* – :sun_with_face: Holy

Hansel – 4* – :leaves: Nature

Pixie – 3* – :sun_with_face: Holy


:gem: Summons Costs

Like all other Event Summon Portals, the Portal Cost is per below:

Single Summon

  • 10 Challenge Coins
    OR
  • 300 Gems

10x Summon

  • 2600 Gems

:game_die: Summoning Appearance Rates

Please note that Challenge Event Heroes are amongst the lowest odds of any Hero in the game. Even with a large number of Summons, you are very likely not to get Challenge Event Heroes, particularly 5*.

I highly recommend setting and sticking to a budget for Summoning to avoid overspending and frustration.

APPEARANCE RATES
Rare Classic Hero: 63.1%
Epic Classic Hero: 20.8%
Legendary Classic Hero: 1.5%

Rare Event Hero: 7.9%
Epic Event Hero: 5.7%
Legendary Event Hero 1.0%

BONUS DRAW
Legendary Hero of the Month: 1.3%


:money_with_wings: Analysis of Summon Appearance Rates

This table shows the cumulative probability of different Summon events, based on a total number of Summons (1x, 10x, 30x, 100x, 500x, 1500x). Based on 10,000 gems costing 99.99 USD, I have also added an approximate $ cost too.

Please note that NO occurrence is ever actually 100%; the 100% entries in the table below indicate cumulative probabilities sufficiently close to 100% that they are expressed as such for simplicity. All other numbers are rounded to the nearest 0.1%.

Occurence 1x
US$3.00
10x
US$26.00
30x
US$77.99
100x
US$259.97
500x
US$1,299.87
1500x
US$3,899.61
Get at Least 1 Fables Hero (3*-5*) 14.6% 79.4% 99.1% 100% 100% 100%
Get at Least 1 of Any 5* Fables Hero 1.0% 9.6% 26.0% 63.4% 99.3% 100%
Get at Least 1 Particular 5* Fables Hero 0.2% 2.0% 5.8% 18.1% 63.2% 95.0%
Get at Least 1 of Any 4* Fables Hero 5.7% 44.4% 82.8% 99.7% 100% 100%
Get at Least 1 Particular 4* Fables Hero 2.85% 25.1% 58.0% 94.5% 100% 100%
Get at Least 1 3* Fables Hero 7.9% 56.1% 91.5% 99.9% 100% 100%

Putting That In Perspective

  • If 1 million players each spent US$26.00 to do 10 Summons, 206,000 of those players would NOT get ANY Fables Heroes

  • If 1 million players each spent US$259.97 to do 100 Summons, 366,000 of those players would NOT get ANY Fables 5* Heroes

  • If 1 million players each spent US$1,299.87 to do 500 Summons, 368,000 of those players would NOT get a particular Fables 5* Hero

Summary Graphic of Portal Odds

See below amazing summary graphic by @Dorkus showing what odds you can really expect from the various summons portals in the game:


:link: Related Threads

Related Info:

Hero Threads:

Previous Threads:

10 Likes

I have 2x Pixie, 2x Hansel, 1x Gretel and 1x Snow White.
I’d love a PiB, of course, and that’s pretty much all I think.
If I got a 3rd or 4th Hansel I would keep them as they are great and useful in wars.

I will probably run full blue for rare. Something like:

Karil[CB] / Ulmer / C.Gunnar / Nordri/ Velen

Karil / Gato / C.Gunnar / Nordri / Velen or Ulmer.

For rare i think i will go :

Jott/ Grimm/ Kiril / C.Rigard / Proteus or

Triton / Grimm / Kiril / C.Rig / Proteus

Legendary :

C.Richard/ Vela/ Grimm / and two more. Dont know if two blues or two purple/Yellow

1 Like

For me it will alternate between 3x Purples and 2x Blue and 3x Blue and 2x Purple:

Epic (no specific order)
cRigard / Tiburtus / Proteus / Jott / Grimm

Legendary
cRigard / Tiburtus / Proteus / Jott / Miki

And then I have another Proteus to mix in if needed

I already have Hansel and Pixie, I would be happy if I got Gretel this time. I don’t dream about event legendaries although I was lucky to got one from Pirates, Avalon and Wonderland, maybe I will get lucky again :smiley:

3×Valen,Nordri/Chickjr,Gunnar for Rare I hv.

1 Like

Yea…

I have one Pixie (maxed), two Hansel (both maxed), Gretel (maxed), PiBs (maxed) and Snow White (maxed).

Would I say no to BW, Rumple, Redhood or even another Pixie?
Well no, but only Pixie would be any real priority - I might max Rumple for funs sake (though Fenrir and Alasie make a strong call to go first - depends if I’m going for fun or not!!), but BW would have to get in line (behind Killhare, Seshat, Freya#2, Seshat#2, and maybe even Freya#3…) and Redhood would also have to get in line (behind Loki at very least, though with PiBs on the bench Noor becomes more attractive too).

I’m not sure how I’ll run it yet…

For completion I could pick almost anything bar reds. Lacking enthusiasm for replays to compete, I’ll probably pick balanced teams, so will probably 3-2 or 3-1-1 this

3* probably: cGunnar - Gato - Chick Jr - Grevle - Bjorn/Pixie depending on level.

4* probably: Kiril/cKiril will definitely feature, Grimm also. cRigs, cTibs and Proteus as a 3 is an option. Gullin, Mist and Gretel is also an option.

5*… Freya+Delilah twosome is always powerful. Miki is superb on these challenges, Snow White will probably come along and Athena likely also (pairs particularly well with the minion heroes - put it all together and high tiles followed by a big Snowy smack could well be the strategy).

1 Like

2x Pixie is very useful for events, she was helpful recently for me.

1 Like

The only Grimforest hero I have is Gretel. Got her off a single pull last Fables event and only just now getting around to leveling her. Will be happy if I can just pull a Hansel and Pixie. Out of the 5* heroes, Puss is probably the one I would enjoy having the most since I have Freya and Bera. Not gonna go too crazy with summons b/c saving up for Gefjon and Halloween summons.

I havent got any hero’s from the event Iv never really pulled as gaurdians is next and save gems for that only the free tokens I use. Soo really any will be cool with moi.

I only played this challenge when I started the game so I need to read a lot. I even have messed this and wonderland chalenges since both are from tales.

No hero of them in my roster, no intend to spend gems on summon, 7 coins stored.

I have a lot of blues, I´ll go 2-1-1-1 for earlier stages (autoplay) and then change to more specific teams

Rare: I have almost no emblemed hero: Baltazhar, Agnes, Berden, Ulmer, Gato --> Tyrum, Chochin, Belith, Berden, Kailani, Ulmer, Gato, Vodnik will opt to play.

Epic and legendary: Boril, Grimm, Kiril, Sonya, Cyprian. Caedmon or Little John could be also of use.

I didn´t renewed VIP so I can have enough iron to nuke if needed.

1 Like

Will use my go to blue 3 star team. Cant use my favorite 5 red namahage team.

5 Likes

Here is my team for epic :

I do not have Jott. Do you think I should max Mireweave ?

1 Like

Anybody else hoping the doubled emblems thing carries through to event completion rewards? My Vela sure would like to see 100 druid emblems at the end of legendary!

It was stated on the release notes that Challenge Events would have increased emblems.

The exact quantity won’t be known until tomorrow.

3 Likes

I like Puss and he goes well with other heroes I’ve got maxed (Freya, Delilah and especially QoH!)…

But Snow White is the magic hero here - I took my time getting around to her and I really regret it, she’s unbelievable fun (and powerful!).

1 Like

If I can pull Snow White with a single pull tomorrow, I am going to propose to my girlfriend.

7 Likes

Not sure yet but something like this, won’t compete too much in legendary, no Miki - no chance. :fox_face:

2 Likes

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