You may have read my previous post about my raid stats. This is the next edition. As costumes are now available, it felt appropriate to close another tracking period, analyze the data, and see what I can learn.
Raid Stats
August 26, 2019 - November 25, 2019
Record: 1,995-126, a 94.1% winning percentage (up from 93.1% in the previous period!)
~23 raids a day; one wonders if I am sleeping enough.
Attacking Configuration
| Configuration | Previous Period | Current Period |
|---|---|---|
| Mono | 0% | 0% |
| 4/1 | 4.1% | 10.2% |
| 3/2 | 57.5% | 35% |
| 3/1/1 | 38.4% | 54.7% |
Observations:
- I may take a deeper look at why my 4/1 usage went up, especially since Iām winning only 90.7% of those raids.
- In the previous period I noted that I was clearly underusing Gravemaker. One way I addressed that was to put him in more 3/1/1 raids where he and Mother North were paired with another elemntās 3tack.
- I win more in 3/2 than 3/1/1 (95.4% and 93.8% respectively). Improving the minor stack seems smart, but I suspect Iād lose too much by pulling my single most powerful hero (Mother North) and āforcingā a 2tack. Itād be different if I had an even close to comparably powerful hero in whatever element. For now I regard this difference as small but am making a note that itās an area I may want to revisit in the future.
Defense Tank Color Prevalence
| Color | Previous Period | Current Period | In Top 100 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red | 17.3% | 20.2% | 14.34% |
| Blue | 31.0% | 32.4% | 16.3% |
| Green | 8.6% | 8.3% | 2.85% |
| Yellow | 19.2% | 18.3% | 27.79% |
| Purple | 23.8% | 20.8% | 38.71 |
The table shows how often I battled a tank of each color and the share of the Top 100 each color has, per Titan Mafiaās most recent reporting period.
Observations:
- Iām not sure thereās much new here. I continue to readily tackle blue teams because of Mother North. As I noted last period, green tanks are rare, and are probably increasingly so as you move into the Top 100.
- Anecdotally, Iād say I saw fewer Guinevere tanks, noticeably so. N.B. Iām not saying I fought fewer - Iām saying I wasnāt offered as many in my matchups.
Win Rate Against Tank Color
| Color | Previous Period | Current Period |
|---|---|---|
| Red | 90.8% | 93.9% |
| Blue | 94.9% | 95.2% |
| Green | 98.0% | 92.0% |
| Yellow | 94.5% | 93.6% |
| Purple | 89.6% | 93.7% |
Observations:
- One of the decisions I made from the previous tracking period was to emblem Kiril and Frida. That appears to have dramatically improved my results against red tanks.
- Green merits some explanation. Basically I started thinking, ālol - free ironā every time I saw one. I think I was overly aggressive and foolish, trying to tackle them with weak-ish teams. Once I realized this was happening, I reined it in a bit. I also emblemed a few red heroes. Doing a quick split between the first half of my attacks and the second seems to show this response was effective: 90.6% win rate in the first half, 93.7% in the second half.
- My win rate against purple tanks (read: Kunchen) improved quite a bit. I used Li Xiu in my previous period, and replaced her with Jackal +18 for this one. In fact, that shift was the whole reason I closed the previous period; I wanted to easily be able to see Jackalās impact.
Offensive Hero Usage
| Hero | Current Period | Previous Period |
|---|---|---|
| Mother North | 100% | 100% |
| Gravemaker | 44.8% | 17.3% |
| Seshat | 40.1% | 24.5% |
| Evelyn | 35.0% | 54.9% |
| Onatel | 33.5% | 45.0% |
| Caedmon | 32.2% | See Note |
| Leonidas | 32.1% | 37.9% |
| Mitsuko | 31.4% | 37.6% |
| Proteus | 27.5% | 24.0% |
| Frida | 25.0% | 23.1% |
| Kiril | 24.2% | 12.2% |
| Grimm | 21.0% | 22.9% |
| Jackal | 20.7% | 0% |
Observations:
- One of my major goals from the previous periods review was to increase Gravemakerās usage. Obviously that goal was met.
- Several core heroes - Evelyn, Onatel, Leonidas, and Mitsuko - saw their usage decline. I think this is because Gravemaker and Seshat took on more prominent roles, but I think the back end of my roster also stepped up (I am basing this partly off of data not shown in the table, when Boldtusk, Wilbur, Sabina, etc. were plugged in).
- Caedmonās usage is basically unchanged: in the previous period I was testing both him and Buddy (and ultimately went with him to match Evelynās mana speed) - they combined for ~33% usage in the previous period.
- It is clear that I now view a heavily emblemed Kiril as a more viable option, leading to an increase in his usage.
Win Rate by Offensive Hero
| Hero | Win Rate |
|---|---|
| Seshat | 96.1% |
| Scarlett | 95.7% |
| Evelyn | 95.4% |
| Caedmon | 95.3% |
| Onatel | 94.4% |
| Proteus | 94.3% |
| Leonidas | 94.3% |
| Gravemaker | 94.1% |
| Mother North | 94.1% |
| Boldtusk | 94.0% |
| Sabina | 93.8% |
| Mitusko | 93.7% |
| Jackal | 93.6% |
| Kiril | 93.4% |
| Grimm | 93.3% |
| Frida | 93.0% |
| Rigard | 92.9% |
| Wilbur | 92.2% |
| Falcon | 89.9% |
Observations:
- Sabina deserves a mention here! She was replaced by a second Seshat midway through the period, but not before posting a 105-7 record. Very serviceable. And she had no emblems, FYI.
- It is clear to me that Rigard needs emblems to keep up - he struggled even with low usage (meaning I only put him out in situations I thought were ideal for him).
- This table reflects my hiccup against green tanks. Falcon and Wilbur didnāt have emblems but I was bringing the, to the table; they dragged Boldtuskās win rate down. Scarlett only took the field once emblemed, so her win rate gives me optimism about my red stacks for the next period.
Defensive Hero Usage
| Hero | Usage |
|---|---|
| Lianna | 21.4% |
| Marjana | 18.1% |
| Sartana | 17.2% |
| Kunchen | 16.7% |
| Vivica | 16.6% |
| Evelyn | 16.5% |
| Magni | 16.5% |
| Joon | 16.1% |
| Gravemaker | 14.1% |
| Onatel | 12.8% |
Observations:
- No conceptual change from the previous period - in fact itās the same 9 plus Onatel replacing Richard (who was 11th in this period).
- Again, itās worth noting the prevalence of TC20 heroes, particularly the snipers.
Win Rate by Defensive Hero
| Hero | Win Rate |
|---|---|
| Mother North | 12.2% |
| Zimkitha | 10.7% |
| Poseidon | 10.5% |
| Gravemaker | 10.3% |
| Mitsuko | 9.2% |
| Kunchen | 8.8% |
| Ariel | 8.6% |
| Thoth-Amun | 8.5% |
| Tarlak | 8.3% |
| Kadilen | 8.1% |
| Hel | 8.0% |
| Leonidas | 7.3% |
| Santa Claus | 7.5 |
| Boril | 7.4% |
Observations:
- I continue to think that Thoth-Amun and Kadilen are much stouter defenders than many believe.
- I required 40 appearances to get into the table, though many heroes look potentially worrisome in smaller samples. One I knew about is Alice - she would actually top the table. One that surprised me is Inari, who would be right behind her. Both were 35 battles so Iām not ready to draw a conclusion yet - just something Iāll keep in mind.
- Boril is the highest placing qualifying four star. I have to go pretty far to find the next one: Proteus at 5.9%. Meaning all the four stars other than Boril posted below average win rates.
- Thorne posted a sterling win rate against me in the previous period. This time he only notched 2.4% in 164 fights. Itās very possible I wasnāt looking out for him before and, once aware of him, I dealt with him better / sooner this time.
- Letās look at the TC20 snipers: Sartana 6.6%, Lianna 5.9%, Joon 5.6%, Magni 5.4%, Marjana 4.7%. Theyāre Diamond worthy, but hardly superstars. Possibly this is one of the many manifestations of power creep.
Action Items
- Iām mostly happy with how Iām doing against each element tank, especially because I think I addressed the red vs. green situation midway through the period. But it is worth monitoring. If I dig deeper here itād probably be by specific hero more than by element (e.g., maybe Guinevere has become less problematic now that I have two Seshats, but perhaps I want to improve against Onatel).
- Raid configuration is a potential area for more research. There are at least two things I should consider: investigating why Iām losing more with 4/1, and if it is worth āforcingā 3/2, at the cost of benching Mother North or making the minor 2tack weak against the tank.
- Rigard needs emblems. I have stopped feeding Mother North to help him, especially now that I have his costume.
). However, I would feel Iām being disingenuous to not talk about my defense. Itās Mother North+13, Gravemaker+8, Aegir+0 (but maxed), Onatel+0 (again, maxed), Seshat+ 9. I consider that a pretty weak defense for the Diamond Arena. I know that I personally find it very inviting if I ever see a tank with no emblems. So my cups probably hover lower than yours. Counterpoint: it is the best defense I can field right now and does keep me around typically 2,500-2,550 overnight.
