With the release of the Season 3 heroes it felt like an appropriate time to close another raid log. This edition is comprised of nearly 3,000 raids and I will be rolling out some different features.
I have a number of other ideas in the pipeline, but they are time consuming to implement. For example, I am looking at potentially combining all the logs to present a more comprehensive data set. I am also looking at doing more with individual heroes and classes, accounting for the most common positioning, and their win rates.
The problem is that changes of this type require me to build in many new features, some of which require re-formatting my current reports. This is no small task as the file I’m using is already massive; it takes Excel close to a minute to open it now.
Anyway, all of that is to say that if you have some ideas or if there’s something you are interested in, let me know! Some of the ideas I’m now presenting / working on are suggestions I got from forum posters.
2775 - 123
Longest winning streak: 109
Team Power is on the Rise
|Period||My Team Power||Opponent’s Team Power|
|8/1/19 - 8/26/19||4,008||4,095|
|8/26/19 - 11/25/19||4,103||4,157|
|11/25/19 - 3/17/20||4,225||4,259|
Conclusion: the price of poker is going up.
For reference, here are a few well regarded heroes and my win rate when attacking with them.
And here are a few that might surprise you:
|Costumed Rigard +17||96.1%|
|Sonya +14 + Costume Bonus||97.9%|
Conclusion: don’t be afraid to emblem your best four stars - it is definitely NOT a waste. They are invaluable in 4 star raid tournaments (and events if that’s your thing), serviceable in 5 star raid tournaments (and events), and more than viable in Diamond Arena raids.
I have posted very strong win rates in past logs with Buddy, Caedmon, Proteus, etc. as well.
I will be expressing the below numbers in terms of the DEFENDER’S win rate (or my loss rate against them, if that makes more sense to you). Keep in mind that, on average, defenders posted a 4.2% win rate in this sample. The best defenders approached the 10% mark (a few exceeded it). For example, Gravemaker won 8.2% of my raids against him.
- I have left off many heroes that are strong in defense because I think everyone realizes they’re strong. For example, Alberich, Alice, Black Knight, Costumed Joon, Drake Fong, Hel, Kageburado, Poseidon, Zimkitha, and others all posted stellar win rates against me.
- Costumed Rigard: given how inexpensive he is and how useful he is on offense and against titans, it seems clear to me that he’s one of the best and most valuable heroes in the game.
- Isarnia is particularly notable because she managed that figure despite the fact that I have Mitsuko.
- Kiril is a real surprise to me, and that’s over a large number of attacks - he’s not exactly uncommon since everyone has access to him.
- Musashi is my number one pick for underrated defender and I’ve noted his strong performance in past logs. He’s the right speed and his talent makes him difficult to remove from the wing.
There are a number of factors, like the hero’s competition at a given position, for emblems, etc., but we can use their presence in the Diamond Raid Arena as a rough proxy for their defensive prowess (obviously this in no way speaks to their value as an raid attacker, titan hero, etc.).
For readability I have minimized labels in the below table, but this is August 2019 - February 2020, showing the number of times I encountered each hero. A hyphen indicates a time before the hero was released.
- No hero has a strong presence in the month of their release. This was surprising to me, as I know many top player’s store resources and power level the best heroes.
- Even in their second month a significant portion of the player’s who will field that hero in their future defense do not have them ready yet. Look at Kingston: his second month count is still low, such thiat it doubles in his third month.
- Barring a change, the community seems to have decided on Grazul and Neith. They’re unexceptional in defense. Kingston is the only superstar in this batch.
- Projecting ahead, it will be very interesting to see if Vela’s march numbers spike. Her second month jump looks a lot more like Kingston than Grazul, so if that trend continues she may become a common defender.
- Similarly, it looks like we’ll need to get though April to draw a conclusion on Jean-François.