Raid stats - one team man

Inspired by @IvyTheTerrible and her raid stats (2121 raids) I decided to gather stats of my raids during December (and slightly more) as I was wondering what my win rate could be because I am using only one team for raiding (regardless of defense team).

Raid team

I choose to attack with one team because it’s fast - you don’t have to change it opponent to opponent and because this team is really good! :stuck_out_tongue_winking_eye: The other reason is that I started using this team on Alliance Wars and finding it’s weakness and capabilities is very useful for me.

Picking an opponent

I am attacking only teams where available loot is more than 15k iron as I am always short of it (with some exceptions when I get to top ±200 in the leaderboard then I lower it to 10k+). So I am rerolling unless the loot meets the requirements. I am not tracking food lost by rerolling as it doesn’t matter to me, but I am pretty sure that food goes up even with rerolls, because most often good iron loot means good food loot too. If I lost and had a flag I always did a rematch. I don’t do revenges as it’s faster to find suitable opponent with rerolls. I was expecting to fight mostly lower TP teams, but in fact a lot of high TP players have full watchtower :man_shrugging:

Raid stats

  • December 1, 2019 - January 3, 2020 (34 days)
  • 640 raids with 93,13 % win rate (596-44)
  • 18,8 raids a day, 17,5 wins a day, 1,3 loses a day
  • Longest win streak: 71 wins in a row
  • Average Team Power of enemy defenses: 4221 TP
  • Iron looted: 262k - 438k a day (15k - 25k per raid)

Winrate by days *

I started very good, that’s where my longest win streak came from. My performance went down a bit from day 9 till day 14 when I finally noticed that win rate drop. I realized I was too confident in the power of the team as I started to not do the smartest matches but I often went for big comboes which sometime lead to a loss while some of these matches could be winnable if played better.


(*) it’s not exactly by days, I just divided all raids by 34

Climb to the rank #1

  • It was around day 18 and 19 - after 6 flags I decided to go for rank #1, needed 3 raid flasks with record 16-2
Left Wing Hero Left Wing Troop Left Flank Hero Left Flank Troop Tank Hero Tank Troop Right Flank Hero Right Flank Troop Right Wing Hero Right Wing Troop TP Victory
Zimkitha+9 1 Drake Fong+9 15 Khagan+10 14 Obakan+10 17 Kadilen+6 14 4277 Yes
Alberich+17 30 Alice+18 30 Gravemaker+18 28 Drake Fong+17 30 Seshat+16 27 4615 No
Alberich+17 30 Alice+18 30 Gravemaker+18 28 Drake Fong+17 30 Seshat+16 27 4615 Yes
Evelyn+12 11 Drake Fong+11 17 Ares+14 20 Kageburado+12 20 Kingston+11 17 4428 Yes
Mother North+14 30 Santa Claus+16 27 Aegir+15 26 Poseidon+14 27 Seshat+14 27 4559 Yes
Mother North+11 26 Finley+14 28 Kunchen+2 16 Onatel+14 23 Marjana+14 22 4441 Yes
Alberich+12 22 Misandra+14 26 Guinevere+12 21 Gravemaker+12 26 Alasie+11 15 4455 Yes
Kingston+19 30 Seshat+15 30 Guinevere+17 30 Gravemaker+17 30 King Arthur+17 30 4613 Yes
Zimkitha+17 23 Frida+16 23 Horghall+0 23 Alasie+17 11 Gravemaker+15 11 4485 Yes
Alberich+14 28 Musashi+14 28 Richard+15 27 Gravemaker+14 27 Sartana+16 27 4511 Yes
Leonidas+9 19 Elena+11 19 Ariel+10 20 Atomos+10 20 Seshat+11 19 4371 No
Mother North+15 28 Gravemaker+16 28 Ursena+16 26 Drake Fong+17 27 Alice+15 28 4582 Yes
Gravemaker+13 13 Misandra+16 19 Ursena+15 21 Drake Fong+12 19 Evelyn+12 19 4484 Yes
Seshat+16 11 Mitsuko+14 15 Kunchen+13 15 Grazul+1 11 Kageburado+14 11 4410 Yes
Zimkitha+11 20 Seshat+13 21 Vivica+14 23 Kageburado+14 13 Neith+6 6 4379 Yes
Finley+18 30 Black Knight+0 30 Kunchen+16 30 Gravemaker+15 30 Zimkitha+15 30 4536 Yes
Zimkitha+18 29 Rana+17 29 Ursena+18 29 Gravemaker+18 29 Alasie+16 29 4631 Yes
Alasie+12 21 Gravemaker+12 22 Kunchen+11 21 Joon+11 22 Morgan Le Fay+12 22 4462 Yes

Win rate against tank element

Tank Element # Teams # Teams [%] Winrate
Dark 176 27,50% 88,07%
Holy 126 19,69% 91,27%
Fire 132 20,63% 94,70%
Nature 43 6,72% 95,35%
Ice 163 25,47% 98,16%
  • The lowest winrate against Dark tanks is not a surprise, I have no holy heroes, so I have to take them with neutral or weak tiles or with specials
  • Low winrate against Holy is a bit surprise to me, especially with 2 dark heroes
  • Biggest winrate against Ice is quite interesting, my guess is that there are no really punishing Ice tanks
  • Lowest occurance of Nature tanks is expected as there are not much good Nature tanks

Win rate against Dark tanks

Tank Element Tank Name Count Win rate Avg. Team Power
Dark Kunchen 96 84,38% 4283
Dark Ursena 30 86,67% 4375
Dark Seshat 8 87,50% 4209
Dark Others 29 96,55% 4123
Dark Khiona 8 100,00% 4203
  • Kunchen is a Dark tank king, and he’s especially bad for my team because he resists Athena’s -defense debuff and he can resist Proteus mana stop when emblemed
  • Ursena is slightly better for me than Kunchen despite the fact I was facing her in stronger teams (according to avg. TP)
  • Seshat at tank position is a bit weird, she’s probably high only because of low amount of data I have

Win rate against Fire tanks

Tank Element Tank Name Count Win rate Avg. Team Power
Fire Gravemaker 30 90,00% 4264
Fire Elena 20 90,00% 4150
Fire Ares 13 92,31% 4177
Fire Marjana 11 100,00% 4169
Fire Mitsuko 8 100,00% 4267
Fire Others 13 100,00% 4161
  • Seeing Gravemaker and Elena with same win rate is weird, but GM usually is in better teams (and he’s nasty), while Elena is probably more punishing on bad boards as I have only single target dispeller
  • Ares is quite high too, probably for the similar reason - weak dispel on my side

Win rate against Holy tanks

Tank Element Tank Name Count Win rate Avg. Team Power
Holy Guinevere 36 80,56% 4340
Holy Delilah 17 82,35% 4317
Holy Onatel 29 96,55% 4223
Holy Vivica 12 100,00% 4234
Holy Drake Fong 6 100,00% 4305
Holy Justice 13 100,00% 4176
Holy Others 13 100,00% 4095
  • Guin is a queen - my dark stack is not often strong enough to take her down early and due to the mana cut it’s hard to take her down with specials. And she’s at stronger teams too
  • Delilah is a surprise to me, but it makes sense. I need time to charge specials when there is not enough tiles and her minions can get other heroes from killable range then.

Win rate against Ice tanks

Tank Element Tank Name Count Win rate Avg. Team Power
Ice Frida 8 87,50% 4169
Ice Ariel 8 87,50% 4277
Ice Richard 27 96,30% 4209
Ice Aegir 38 100,00% 4277
Ice Boril 8 100,00% 4039
Ice Thorne 17 100,00% 4122
Ice Magni 25 100,00% 4179
Ice Isarnia 8 100,00% 4146
Ice others 24 100,00% 4120
  • Not many matches against Frida/Ariel, I would expect Frida’s winrate around Richards as they are quite similar
  • Aegir is the easiest tank to face for me, and he usually is in high TP teams, but that won’t help him much

Win rate against Nature tanks

Tank Element Tank Name Count Win rate Avg. Team Power
Nature Horghall 8 87,50% 4165
Nature others 17 94,12% 4149
Nature Elkanen 13 100,00% 4091
  • Scarcity of Nature tank is apparent, Horghall is “bad” for me with 2 Ice heroes and without cleanser/attack buffer, but he’s not scary. I would need more data tho

Because I have data for it, I’ll add some other more or less interesting stats (similar to what SGG did here and hopefully will do in a future again), but it’ll be without my comments.

Heroes I’ve never met (dated to 2020-01-04)

  • Boss Wolf
  • Jabberwock
  • Puss in Boots
  • Snow White

Heroes origin

Origin Count
Regular S1 1259
HotM 1157
Atlantis Family 105
Avalon 80
Sakura Family 71
Winter 39
Lagoon Family 37
Wonderland 34
Pirates 22
Guardians 20
Grimforest 10
Summer 6
Spring 5
Autumn 5

Most often used heroes (regardless of their position)

  • Heroes I’ve met at least 50 times
Element Name # teams # teams [%] Win rate Avg. Team Power Avg. Emblems
Dark Kunchen 126 19,69% 85,71% 4280 7,67
Dark Seshat 83 12,97% 91,57% 4252 7,20
Dark Sartana 87 13,59% 94,25% 4226 6,89
Fire Gravemaker 131 20,47% 81,68% 4355 9,86
Fire Zimkitha 52 8,13% 88,46% 4293 8,81
Fire Elena 59 9,22% 93,22% 4160 6,15
Fire Marjana 107 16,72% 95,33% 4212 7,23
Fire Azlar 51 7,97% 100,00% 4173 6,65
Holy Drake Fong 74 11,56% 90,54% 4325 8,47
Holy Joon 101 15,78% 95,05% 4199 6,46
Holy Onatel 56 8,75% 96,43% 4261 7,82
Holy Vivica 99 15,47% 96,97% 4211 6,32
Ice Alasie 63 9,84% 85,71% 4331 9,03
Ice Isarnia 54 8,44% 94,44% 4171 5,41
Ice Richard 78 12,19% 94,87% 4213 7,45
Ice Magni 104 16,25% 97,12% 4185 6,83
Nature Alberich 75 11,72% 82,67% 4323 8,95
Nature Kadilen 52 8,13% 90,38% 4236 6,56
Nature Lianna 116 18,13% 94,83% 4211 6,78
Nature Elkanen 57 8,91% 98,25% 4152 4,81
Nature Evelyn 59 9,22% 98,31% 4216 7,05

Most often used 4* heroes (regardless of their position)

  • Heroes I’ve met at least 20 times
Element Name # teams # teams [%] Win rate Avg. Team Power Avg. Emblems
Dark Rigard 42 6,56% 100,00% 4041 15,12
Dark Sabina 25 3,91% 100,00% 4029 15,36
Fire Boldtusk 31 4,84% 100,00% 4075 19,03
Holy Wu Kong 29 4,53% 96,55% 4001 11,76
Ice Kiril 29 4,53% 100,00% 4054 13,41
Nature Melendor 32 5,00% 100,00% 4027 12,75

Most dangerous heroes and win rate by position

  • Heroes I’ve met at least 20 times with win rate below 92 %
Element Name # teams Win rate # Flanks Flanks win rate # Tanks Tank win rate # Wings Wings win rate
Dark Kageburado 33 78,79% 18 72,22% 5 100,00% 10 80,00%
Dark Kunchen 126 85,71% 15 93,33% 96 84,38% 15 86,67%
Dark Ursena 42 88,10% 11 90,91% 30 86,67% 1 100,00%
Dark Seshat 83 91,57% 38 92,11% 8 87,50% 36 91,67%
Fire Gravemaker 131 81,68% 83 79,52% 30 90,00% 18 77,78%
Fire Zimkitha 52 88,46% 18 83,33% 2 100,00% 32 90,63%
Holy Guinevere 45 80,00% 9 77,78% 36 80,56% 0 NULL
Holy Poseidon 26 84,62% 19 78,95% 1 100,00% 6 100,00%
Holy Drake Fong 74 90,54% 46 84,78% 6 100,00% 22 100,00%
Holy Delilah 43 90,70% 12 91,67% 17 82,35% 14 100,00%
Holy Leonidas 45 91,11% 16 93,75% 3 100,00% 26 88,46%
Ice Alice 21 71,43% 7 85,71% 1 100,00% 13 61,54%
Ice Alasie 63 85,71% 21 90,48% 4 100,00% 38 81,58%
Ice Frida 44 86,36% 18 94,44% 8 87,50% 18 77,78%
Ice Misandra 21 90,48% 9 100,00% 2 100,00% 10 80,00%
Nature Alberich 75 82,67% 5 100,00% 1 100,00% 69 81,16%
Nature Kingston 39 84,62% 9 77,78% 1 100,00% 29 86,21%
Nature Kadilen 52 90,38% 25 92,00% 0 NULL 27 88,89%

Big thanks to @Guvnor for his Hero Booklet, which helped me a LOT to make this happen.

Ping to @Ender_BattleSchool and @DoctorStrange because you might find this interesting (as active posters in Beating the 4500tp and up. Show us the goods).

13 Likes

great post, thanks for sharing…i’ve been wanting to create an idea post for EnP to incorporate win-rate for defense, same as they do in the tournaments, but for tower defense teams. Maybe someday I will have time.

4 Likes

I’ve been doing it for mine but purely to determine which works best :stuck_out_tongue:

Nice job mate!

Happy to have helped in a small way haha

I’ve started doing something similar in the last week but it’s going to be a long time before I get all the data!

1 Like

Very informative, nicely done. We seem to share some similar problems and success might use this record my own data. Ty for the send

1 Like

Cool experiment! Thanks for tagging me so I didn’t miss it.

A few observations:

  • Your win rate is VERY impressive, given that you’re not switching teams or even 3tacking.
  • You’ve probably read this from my summaries, but I am NOT surprised to see Elena up there. She’s proven a troublesome tank for me as well and I think people don’t give her enough credit.
  • You present different data than I do, which is great! One thing I was really interested to see is the team power for different tanks. It seems likely that those who can and do tank with Ursena, Gravemaker, Guinevere, and Ariel are spending more and have strong complementary pieces. Mitsuko was a surprise to me, showing a TP roughly equal to Gravemaker’s.
  • Average emblems was also very interesting as I don’t track that (best I could do would be to try to estimate it based on team power vs. underlying card power, but I’d also have to estimate troops to do that). Eyeballing it it looks like the heroes you encountered are around +7 or +8, on average.

Thanks for taking the time to track and share this! Are you continuing or doing a different experiment in January?

1 Like

This team doesn’t depend on tile strength (but it helps), specials are the key most of the time. If there was hero similar to Proteus, especially holy one I would gladly switch him (Onatel might be good, but I don’t have her), to be covering more elements as most losses came to me when I was missing dark/ice tiles.

Having added stats (TP, emblems, troops) is definitely cool, It’d be only better to have more data. BUT it took me ±6 hours to “rewrite” screenshots to excel then ±3 hours to make all aggregations and another ±3 hours to create the post itself. I’d love to continue, or do some other experiments, but sadly I don’t have this much of time. If it wasn’t for Holidays I wouldn’t be able to do even this one.

But now, I can do almost anything with the data I have - if you were interested in anything, let me know!

For example:

Number of Rogue classes, their position, avg. emblems and win rate

  • As expected, Rogues are best at wings and the worst at tank position
Position Count Avg. Emblems Win Rate
Left Wing 33 6,61 90,9%
Left Flank 61 8,1 95,1%
Tank 25 7,52 100%
Right Flank 52 7,62 94,2%
Right Wing 59 8,81 91,5%
1 Like

Super informative! After studying this for a while, this would be your toughest to beat rainbow team:

Gravemaker - Kage- Guin - Kingston - Alice.

1 Like

I will have to come back and review later.

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