Inspired by @IvyTheTerrible and her raid stats (2121 raids) I decided to gather stats of my raids during December (and slightly more) as I was wondering what my win rate could be because I am using only one team for raiding (regardless of defense team).
Raid team
I choose to attack with one team because it’s fast - you don’t have to change it opponent to opponent and because this team is really good! The other reason is that I started using this team on Alliance Wars and finding it’s weakness and capabilities is very useful for me.
I am attacking only teams where available loot is more than 15k iron as I am always short of it (with some exceptions when I get to top ±200 in the leaderboard then I lower it to 10k+). So I am rerolling unless the loot meets the requirements. I am not tracking food lost by rerolling as it doesn’t matter to me, but I am pretty sure that food goes up even with rerolls, because most often good iron loot means good food loot too. If I lost and had a flag I always did a rematch. I don’t do revenges as it’s faster to find suitable opponent with rerolls. I was expecting to fight mostly lower TP teams, but in fact a lot of high TP players have full watchtower
Raid stats
December 1, 2019 - January 3, 2020 (34 days)
640 raids with 93,13 % win rate (596-44)
18,8 raids a day, 17,5 wins a day, 1,3 loses a day
Longest win streak: 71 wins in a row
Average Team Power of enemy defenses: 4221 TP
Iron looted: 262k - 438k a day (15k - 25k per raid)
Winrate by days *
I started very good, that’s where my longest win streak came from. My performance went down a bit from day 9 till day 14 when I finally noticed that win rate drop. I realized I was too confident in the power of the team as I started to not do the smartest matches but I often went for big comboes which sometime lead to a loss while some of these matches could be winnable if played better.
The lowest winrate against Dark tanks is not a surprise, I have no holy heroes, so I have to take them with neutral or weak tiles or with specials
Low winrate against Holy is a bit surprise to me, especially with 2 dark heroes
Biggest winrate against Ice is quite interesting, my guess is that there are no really punishing Ice tanks
Lowest occurance of Nature tanks is expected as there are not much good Nature tanks
Win rate against Dark tanks
Tank Element
Tank Name
Count
Win rate
Avg. Team Power
Dark
Kunchen
96
84,38%
4283
Dark
Ursena
30
86,67%
4375
Dark
Seshat
8
87,50%
4209
Dark
Others
29
96,55%
4123
Dark
Khiona
8
100,00%
4203
Kunchen is a Dark tank king, and he’s especially bad for my team because he resists Athena’s -defense debuff and he can resist Proteus mana stop when emblemed
Ursena is slightly better for me than Kunchen despite the fact I was facing her in stronger teams (according to avg. TP)
Seshat at tank position is a bit weird, she’s probably high only because of low amount of data I have
Win rate against Fire tanks
Tank Element
Tank Name
Count
Win rate
Avg. Team Power
Fire
Gravemaker
30
90,00%
4264
Fire
Elena
20
90,00%
4150
Fire
Ares
13
92,31%
4177
Fire
Marjana
11
100,00%
4169
Fire
Mitsuko
8
100,00%
4267
Fire
Others
13
100,00%
4161
Seeing Gravemaker and Elena with same win rate is weird, but GM usually is in better teams (and he’s nasty), while Elena is probably more punishing on bad boards as I have only single target dispeller
Ares is quite high too, probably for the similar reason - weak dispel on my side
Win rate against Holy tanks
Tank Element
Tank Name
Count
Win rate
Avg. Team Power
Holy
Guinevere
36
80,56%
4340
Holy
Delilah
17
82,35%
4317
Holy
Onatel
29
96,55%
4223
Holy
Vivica
12
100,00%
4234
Holy
Drake Fong
6
100,00%
4305
Holy
Justice
13
100,00%
4176
Holy
Others
13
100,00%
4095
Guin is a queen - my dark stack is not often strong enough to take her down early and due to the mana cut it’s hard to take her down with specials. And she’s at stronger teams too
Delilah is a surprise to me, but it makes sense. I need time to charge specials when there is not enough tiles and her minions can get other heroes from killable range then.
Win rate against Ice tanks
Tank Element
Tank Name
Count
Win rate
Avg. Team Power
Ice
Frida
8
87,50%
4169
Ice
Ariel
8
87,50%
4277
Ice
Richard
27
96,30%
4209
Ice
Aegir
38
100,00%
4277
Ice
Boril
8
100,00%
4039
Ice
Thorne
17
100,00%
4122
Ice
Magni
25
100,00%
4179
Ice
Isarnia
8
100,00%
4146
Ice
others
24
100,00%
4120
Not many matches against Frida/Ariel, I would expect Frida’s winrate around Richards as they are quite similar
Aegir is the easiest tank to face for me, and he usually is in high TP teams, but that won’t help him much
Win rate against Nature tanks
Tank Element
Tank Name
Count
Win rate
Avg. Team Power
Nature
Horghall
8
87,50%
4165
Nature
others
17
94,12%
4149
Nature
Elkanen
13
100,00%
4091
Scarcity of Nature tank is apparent, Horghall is “bad” for me with 2 Ice heroes and without cleanser/attack buffer, but he’s not scary. I would need more data tho
Because I have data for it, I’ll add some other more or less interesting stats (similar to what SGG did here and hopefully will do in a future again), but it’ll be without my comments.
Heroes I’ve never met (dated to 2020-01-04)
Boss Wolf
Jabberwock
Puss in Boots
Snow White
Heroes origin
Origin
Count
Regular S1
1259
HotM
1157
Atlantis Family
105
Avalon
80
Sakura Family
71
Winter
39
Lagoon Family
37
Wonderland
34
Pirates
22
Guardians
20
Grimforest
10
Summer
6
Spring
5
Autumn
5
Most often used heroes (regardless of their position)
Heroes I’ve met at least 50 times
Element
Name
# teams
# teams [%]
Win rate
Avg. Team Power
Avg. Emblems
Dark
Kunchen
126
19,69%
85,71%
4280
7,67
Dark
Seshat
83
12,97%
91,57%
4252
7,20
Dark
Sartana
87
13,59%
94,25%
4226
6,89
Fire
Gravemaker
131
20,47%
81,68%
4355
9,86
Fire
Zimkitha
52
8,13%
88,46%
4293
8,81
Fire
Elena
59
9,22%
93,22%
4160
6,15
Fire
Marjana
107
16,72%
95,33%
4212
7,23
Fire
Azlar
51
7,97%
100,00%
4173
6,65
Holy
Drake Fong
74
11,56%
90,54%
4325
8,47
Holy
Joon
101
15,78%
95,05%
4199
6,46
Holy
Onatel
56
8,75%
96,43%
4261
7,82
Holy
Vivica
99
15,47%
96,97%
4211
6,32
Ice
Alasie
63
9,84%
85,71%
4331
9,03
Ice
Isarnia
54
8,44%
94,44%
4171
5,41
Ice
Richard
78
12,19%
94,87%
4213
7,45
Ice
Magni
104
16,25%
97,12%
4185
6,83
Nature
Alberich
75
11,72%
82,67%
4323
8,95
Nature
Kadilen
52
8,13%
90,38%
4236
6,56
Nature
Lianna
116
18,13%
94,83%
4211
6,78
Nature
Elkanen
57
8,91%
98,25%
4152
4,81
Nature
Evelyn
59
9,22%
98,31%
4216
7,05
Most often used 4* heroes (regardless of their position)
Heroes I’ve met at least 20 times
Element
Name
# teams
# teams [%]
Win rate
Avg. Team Power
Avg. Emblems
Dark
Rigard
42
6,56%
100,00%
4041
15,12
Dark
Sabina
25
3,91%
100,00%
4029
15,36
Fire
Boldtusk
31
4,84%
100,00%
4075
19,03
Holy
Wu Kong
29
4,53%
96,55%
4001
11,76
Ice
Kiril
29
4,53%
100,00%
4054
13,41
Nature
Melendor
32
5,00%
100,00%
4027
12,75
Most dangerous heroes and win rate by position
Heroes I’ve met at least 20 times with win rate below 92 %
Element
Name
# teams
Win rate
# Flanks
Flanks win rate
# Tanks
Tank win rate
# Wings
Wings win rate
Dark
Kageburado
33
78,79%
18
72,22%
5
100,00%
10
80,00%
Dark
Kunchen
126
85,71%
15
93,33%
96
84,38%
15
86,67%
Dark
Ursena
42
88,10%
11
90,91%
30
86,67%
1
100,00%
Dark
Seshat
83
91,57%
38
92,11%
8
87,50%
36
91,67%
Fire
Gravemaker
131
81,68%
83
79,52%
30
90,00%
18
77,78%
Fire
Zimkitha
52
88,46%
18
83,33%
2
100,00%
32
90,63%
Holy
Guinevere
45
80,00%
9
77,78%
36
80,56%
0
NULL
Holy
Poseidon
26
84,62%
19
78,95%
1
100,00%
6
100,00%
Holy
Drake Fong
74
90,54%
46
84,78%
6
100,00%
22
100,00%
Holy
Delilah
43
90,70%
12
91,67%
17
82,35%
14
100,00%
Holy
Leonidas
45
91,11%
16
93,75%
3
100,00%
26
88,46%
Ice
Alice
21
71,43%
7
85,71%
1
100,00%
13
61,54%
Ice
Alasie
63
85,71%
21
90,48%
4
100,00%
38
81,58%
Ice
Frida
44
86,36%
18
94,44%
8
87,50%
18
77,78%
Ice
Misandra
21
90,48%
9
100,00%
2
100,00%
10
80,00%
Nature
Alberich
75
82,67%
5
100,00%
1
100,00%
69
81,16%
Nature
Kingston
39
84,62%
9
77,78%
1
100,00%
29
86,21%
Nature
Kadilen
52
90,38%
25
92,00%
0
NULL
27
88,89%
Big thanks to @Guvnor for his Hero Booklet, which helped me a LOT to make this happen.
great post, thanks for sharing…i’ve been wanting to create an idea post for EnP to incorporate win-rate for defense, same as they do in the tournaments, but for tower defense teams. Maybe someday I will have time.
Cool experiment! Thanks for tagging me so I didn’t miss it.
A few observations:
Your win rate is VERY impressive, given that you’re not switching teams or even 3tacking.
You’ve probably read this from my summaries, but I am NOT surprised to see Elena up there. She’s proven a troublesome tank for me as well and I think people don’t give her enough credit.
You present different data than I do, which is great! One thing I was really interested to see is the team power for different tanks. It seems likely that those who can and do tank with Ursena, Gravemaker, Guinevere, and Ariel are spending more and have strong complementary pieces. Mitsuko was a surprise to me, showing a TP roughly equal to Gravemaker’s.
Average emblems was also very interesting as I don’t track that (best I could do would be to try to estimate it based on team power vs. underlying card power, but I’d also have to estimate troops to do that). Eyeballing it it looks like the heroes you encountered are around +7 or +8, on average.
Thanks for taking the time to track and share this! Are you continuing or doing a different experiment in January?
This team doesn’t depend on tile strength (but it helps), specials are the key most of the time. If there was hero similar to Proteus, especially holy one I would gladly switch him (Onatel might be good, but I don’t have her), to be covering more elements as most losses came to me when I was missing dark/ice tiles.
Having added stats (TP, emblems, troops) is definitely cool, It’d be only better to have more data. BUT it took me ±6 hours to “rewrite” screenshots to excel then ±3 hours to make all aggregations and another ±3 hours to create the post itself. I’d love to continue, or do some other experiments, but sadly I don’t have this much of time. If it wasn’t for Holidays I wouldn’t be able to do even this one.
But now, I can do almost anything with the data I have - if you were interested in anything, let me know!
For example:
Number of Rogue classes, their position, avg. emblems and win rate
As expected, Rogues are best at wings and the worst at tank position
The other reason is that I started using this team on Alliance Wars and finding it’s weakness and capabilities is very useful for me.
