This thread is for information and discussion on the October 2020 Ninja Tower Summon Portals (Troop & Hero), and sharing Summon Results.
For discussion of teams & strategy see: 🏯 [Oct 2020] Ninja Tower Event - FAQ & Discussion
Ninja HERO Portal
Classic Heroes
- Rare Classic Hero: 71%
- Epic Classic Hero: 20.8%
- Legendary Classic Hero: 1.5%
Ninja Heroes
- Epic Ninja Hero: 5.7%
- Legendary Ninja Hero: 1.0%
Bonus Draw
- Legendary Hero of the Month: 1.3%
Summoning Costs
The costs of summoning are listed below
Single Summon:
- 100x "Tower Coins
- 300x Gems
10x Summon:
- 2600 Gems
There is currently no “30x” summon option
Ninja TROOP Portal Appearance Rates
- Rare Classic Troop = 85%
- Epic Classic Troop = 10%
- Epic Ninja Troop = 5%
Summon Costs
You CAN use your Epic Troop Tokens (ETT’s) in the Ninja Portal. Gem Summon Costs remain the same:
- 1x = 200 Gems
- 10x = 1600 gems
Avoiding Overspending & Heartache  |
|---|
| Or: How many summons are needed to get a Ninja Hero? |
| Below Maths is current as of October 2020 portal. Subject to change as additional heroes are added to the Portal. |
This table shows the cumulative probability of different Summon events, based on a total number of Summons (1x, 10x, 30x, 100x, 500x, 1500x, 2500x, 5000x & 10000x). Based on 10,000 gems costing 99.99 USD, I have also added an approximate $ cost too.
Please note that NO occurrence is ever actually 100%; the 100% entries in the table below indicate cumulative probabilities sufficiently close to 100% that they are expressed as such for simplicity. All other numbers are rounded to the nearest 0.1%.
Some useful insights:
(Each 30x Summons costs 8,000 gems or ~$79.99 USD).
| 1x |
10x |
30x |
100x |
500x |
1500x |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any Ninja Hero (4 or 5*) | 6.70% | 50.02% | 87.51% | 99.90% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| Any 5* Ninja | 1.00% | 9.56% | 26.03% | 63.40% | 99.34% | 100.00% |
| A Specific 5* Ninja | 0.20% | 1.98% | 5.83% | 18.14% | 63.25% | 95.04% |
| Any 4* Ninja | 5.70% | 44.39% | 82.81% | 99.72% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| Any Specific 4* Ninja | 1.90% | 17.46% | 43.76% | 85.31% | 99.99% | 100.00% |
| Any Ninja Troop | 5.00% | 40.13% | 78.54% | 99.41% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| A Specific Ninja Troop | 1.00% | 9.56% | 26.03% | 63.40% | 99.34% | 100.00% |
You have a 0.20% chance of summoning a specific 5* Ninja Hero.
On average, in a 10-pull, you have a 9.56% chance of summoning ANY 5* Ninja Hero.
On Average, in a 10-pull you have a 50.02% chance of summoning ANY Ninja Hero.
But that statistic can lead our minds astray in exactly how our odds play out as we continue summoning.
Putting that in Perspective
-
37 out of every 100 people will spend
~$259.97 USDand WON’T get ANY 5* Ninja Hero by the 100th pull -
If 1 Million players each spent
$259.97 USDand summoned 100 times, 818,567 of those players WON’T get the specific 5 Ninja Hero they want.* -
5 out of every 100 people who will spend
~$3,899,61 USDand WON’T get the specific Ninja 5* Hero by the 1,500th pull -
If 1 Million players each summoned 1,500 times, 49,638 of those players wouldn’t get the Ninja Hero they want.
Odds Explained via Picture
A good graphic showing the overall odds & what you can expect from the various summons portals made by @Dorkus:
Offers
prices in AUD & include tax
Related Threads
Historical Ninja Summons Threads:
- Nil
