This thread is for information and discussion on the Ninja Tower Summon Portals (Troop & Hero), and sharing Summon Results.
For discussion of teams & strategy see: 🏯 [Oct 2020] Ninja Tower Event - FAQ & Discussion
Ninja HERO Portal
- Rare Classic Hero: 71%
- Epic Classic Hero: 20.8%
- Legendary Classic Hero: 1.5%
- Epic Ninja Hero: 5.7%
- Legendary Ninja Hero: 1.0%
- Legendary Hero of the Month: 1.3%
The costs of summoning are listed below
- 100x "Tower Coins
- 300x Gems
- 2600 Gems
There is currently no “30x” summon option
Ninja TROOP Portal Appearance Rates
- Rare Classic Troop = 85%
- Epic Classic Troop = 10%
- Epic Ninja Troop = 5%
You CAN use your Epic Troop Tokens (ETT’s) in the Ninja Portal. Gem Summon Costs remain the same:
- 1x = 200 Gems
- 10x = 1600 gems
|Avoiding Overspending & Heartache|
|Or: How many summons are needed to get a Ninja Hero?|
|Below Maths is current as of October 2020 portal.
Subject to change as additional heroes are added to the Portal.
This table shows the cumulative probability of different Summon events, based on a total number of Summons (1x, 10x, 30x, 100x, 500x, 1500x, 2500x, 5000x & 10000x). Based on 10,000 gems costing 99.99 USD, I have also added an approximate $ cost too.
Please note that NO occurrence is ever actually 100%; the 100% entries in the table below indicate cumulative probabilities sufficiently close to 100% that they are expressed as such for simplicity. All other numbers are rounded to the nearest 0.1%.
Some useful insights:
(Each 30x Summons costs 8,000 gems or ~$79.99 USD).
|Any Ninja Hero (4 or 5*)||6.70%||50.02%||87.51%||99.90%||100.00%||100.00%|
|Any 5* Ninja||1.00%||9.56%||26.03%||63.40%||99.34%||100.00%|
|A Specific 5* Ninja||0.20%||1.98%||5.83%||18.14%||63.25%||95.04%|
|Any 4* Ninja||5.70%||44.39%||82.81%||99.72%||100.00%||100.00%|
|Any Specific 4* Ninja||1.90%||17.46%||43.76%||85.31%||99.99%||100.00%|
|Any Ninja Troop||5.00%||40.13%||78.54%||99.41%||100.00%||100.00%|
|A Specific Ninja Troop||1.00%||9.56%||26.03%||63.40%||99.34%||100.00%|
You have a 0.20% chance of summoning a specific 5* Ninja Hero.
On average, in a 10-pull, you have a 9.56% chance of summoning ANY 5* Ninja Hero.
On Average, in a 10-pull you have a 50.02% chance of summoning ANY Ninja Hero.
But that statistic can lead our minds astray in exactly how our odds play out as we continue summoning.
Putting that in Perspective
37 out of every 100 people will spend
~$259.97 USDand WON’T get ANY 5* Ninja Hero by the 100th pull
If 1 Million players each spent
$259.97 USDand summoned 100 times, 818,567 of those players WON’T get the specific 5 Ninja Hero they want.*
5 out of every 100 people who will spend
~$3,899,61 USDand WON’T get the specific Ninja 5* Hero by the 1,500th pull
If 1 Million players each summoned 1,500 times, 49,638 of those players wouldn’t get the Ninja Hero they want.
Odds Explained via Picture
A good graphic showing the overall odds & what you can expect from the various summons portals made by @Dorkus:
prices in AUD & include tax
Historical Ninja Summons Threads: