It seems we are too focused on our war defense.
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A good HOTM does entice people to spend. They are more than just a bonus pull, sometimes they are the main heroes people are going for, e.g. Kingston, Seshat.
Why? Because we know it is much easier to get these heroes with our money then going for a 0.2% chance for Finley or black knight.
How much does 200 pulls cost? 200 pulls during event will give you a chance of only 33% to get Finley. How many people will really try that hard to get him? From what I observed, most people treat event pull like lottery ticket. If you get it, good, if not, well then better luck next time but donât go overboard with it.
A bad HOTM will make more people not spend during that month.
Iâm responding to you, because you seem to ignore math. The Hotm has the single highest chance to pull. The events split summon chances between the other 5*s of the event.
If the HOTM is good, then that means you have a much higher chance to get something good!
The HOTM is the number one factor to determine if players will spend. The challenge events come up every 5 months, since the heroes donât always change the factor that decides if you spend is the HOTM.
The same is true for Atlantis, Valhalla, and to a lesser degree costume summon. If the HoTM is highly desirable, people will of course summon more.
A 1,3% chance on every summon for something good vs a .325% chance for featured heroes in Atlantis, or an even smaller chance split between Valhalla. Or a .2% chance for pirates/wonderland etcâŠ
The HOTM being good, or even great, builds a bridge of opportunity for c2p/F2P and spenders.
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One: That is incorrect. Each 5* challenge event hero has a 1% chance of being summoned on its own, they donât share that single percentage.
Two: Valhalla and Atlantis 5* heroes have similar odds to summon a HotM at 1.2% vs 1.3. Is that .1% chance really so significant?
Three: Whether it be here on the forums, on Facebook or on the LINE app, people talk about how much they are going to try for the current HotM, but when those topics come up, itâs usually followed closely by which portal they plan on pulling from. Most often people will either wait for the challenge event or Valhalla/Atlantis (since there is the 30 pull options at these portals).
I agree that some people will not pull as much if the HotM is not as good, but many of the portals and the heroes featured there dictate who pulls when and how much. The HotM is a bonus, nothing more, so if said hero is desirable, people will try and pull it, but most often, that will occur during an event portal.
As for Raffaelle, he is not going to be a great motivating factor for many in his current form, but I donât think SG cares because thatâs when the sand empire will return (at the end of June) with Valhalla. People are going to try and pull Raffaelle, but when are they going to pull⊠We shall see.
This is a joke right? Well, if not its finaly time to save some money
I really donât think youâre right man. Everything Iâve ever seen on the forums/YouTube/reddit All say that the %chance for a legendary is split equally between the heroes of that event.
Can anyone verify this guys claim?
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Ask @zephyr1 @Guvnor @littleKAF @JonahTheBard @Rook because they would know.
Yes.
All heroes within a specified bracket have equal odds of being summoned.
So if we take Atlantis for example:
FEATURED Legendary Hero = 1.3%
There are 4 featured heroes in any Atlantis Portal. Thus each hero has a 0.325% chance of being summoned
Non-Featured Legendary Season II Hero = 0.3%
There are a total of 8 non-featured heroes. Thus each hero has a 0.0375% chance of being summoned
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They do share the percentage in that bracket.
So the chance for each Hero in that example is far less than 1%.
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Assuming there are no featured heroes. But thatâs only s2 and s3 and costumes. Not elemental summons - those are equal.
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Featured Heroes have their own Appearance Rates bracket.
And just like the other brackets, those are shared for cases where there are multiple Heroes in that bracket, e.g. Atlantis and Costumes.
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Have updated post to show this 
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Wow, so in the case of events, the heroes only have a .2% chance of being summoned? @ManiacOfMayhem I was wrong, but that just blows my mind.
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Yup. Exactly.
Hence this thread:
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This knowledge is depressing as balls. I just went from c2p to f2p.
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Yep.
This is why I try to encourage people not to chase Heroes, and to set budgets theyâre happy with spending without anything to show for it.
Itâs also why I include stats about Summon odds in every Hero thread.
I fully support that decision.
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No worries man, thatâs why the forums are such a good place to come! discussion helps us all get better. Although I have to
AdmitâŠI was secretly hoping I was wrong! 
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Totally agree⊠at average speed at least he has a chance to fire and the reduced effects will balance the speed âŠ
How do you think guys, at his current state is Raffaele going to be the worst HOTM ever until now? It seems so, or is Margaret more useless 
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Updated status make this guy doesnât really bring something new to the table.
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