New Challenge Event Offers Discussion (January 2020)

zephyr1 · January 10, 2020, 8:50am

The somewhat similar Atlantis offer is this one:

I like to value offers based on the 200 gem offers during Challenge Events, as they’re the second best deal on gems after the main Atlantis offer that has both gems and Atlantis Coins. (And not counting VIP.)

(this one is the better Atlantis Offer)

Based on that approach, I value gems at 1/2 cent USD each — because the first Challenge Event offer is 200 gems for $1 USD.

From that, I’ve figured out valuations for everything else based on other offers.

So I personally look at these as:

Challenge Offer 3

Item	Value
500 gems	$2.50
5x WE Flasks	$2.50

Atlantis Offer 2 (plus more explanation of my thinking)

New Atlantis Deal?

I do sort of the same, except I compare it to the best deals instead.

Based on that, I value Gems at $0.50 USD per 100, since that’s roughly the price of Challenge Event and Atlantis 200 Gem/25 Coin Offers.

100 Atlantis Coins = 300 Gems (I’m less generous, I compare to a 10-pull, not Singles). So I treat the Coins as 900 Gems. That’s $4.50.

WE Flasks are worth 100 Gems each, if we’re being generous, so that’s 300 Gems. That’s $1.50.

For valuing Loot Tickets, my expectation is 4.5 cents each, based on the $10 “It’s Raining Loot Tickets” Offer, which contains 1000 Gems ($5 value to me), 1 WE Flask (50 cent value to me), and 100 Loot Tickets. So 30 are worth $1.35 to me.

And of course the Gems themselves are worth $1.50 using this valuation.

In total, that makes this Offer worth $8.85.

Now, here’s the thing — almost NONE of the Offers are worth their nominal price under this system of evaluation. That’s because I’m using the lowest Gem prices normally offered as a basis.

So it’s all about percentage value — and 88.5% is actually pretty decent on that front, albeit lower than others.

For comparison, as an example, the “Heavenly Treasures” Offer is 93.3% value under this system.

So based on my personal evaluation system, this Challenge Offer 3 is a better deal than the Atlantis Offer 2 — because it’s priced the same as I’d value it (i.e. 100% value), whereas, Atlantis 2 is priced at 88.5% of what I’d value it as.

The only caveat to that is that $0.50 for a WE Flask is a generous valuation for someone who never ever uses gems for WE refills, and it comprises half of the valuation of this offer as I’ve tallied it. But Atlantis Rises has made that a potentially reasonable place to spend some gems or WE Flasks for a lot of people, as the farming benefits can be worth some extra runs, so those players may see a similar value in WE Flasks.