Top 100 Alliances War Results

Updated for missing wars. Spreadsheet glitch.

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Here is the Top 100 ranking list, which includes the weighted war score that determines ranks below #10. Ranks #1 to #10 are based solely on actual wars during the 10-war ranking period and not their weighted war score.

Because the vast majority of Top 100 alliances are included on the war recap, which includes the alliance’s rank, I haven’t been posting the full Top 100 ranking list. But this list provides the numbers behind the rankings, which provides more insight for those who are interested.

Top #101 - #117
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And finally, the 18 alliances tracked but not ranked due to either not yet having 5 war scores recorded or have excess wars below 30.
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Top 100 War Results - Updated
War Ended August 7, 2022
War Effect: Rush Attack

101 wars were reported, including all 50 of the Top 50 and 95 of the Top 100 (second highest).

Upset wins at the top!

After waiting almost two months for an opportunity to avenge their loss to 7DD on June 12, #4 The Avengers seized the moment and defeated #1 7DD by 257 in an upset win (6,909 to 6,652). Scoring close to 7K is a huge accomplishment in Rush, and almost unthinkable when going against a top defense. But flexing their superhuman powers, The Avengers showed once again they belong at the top.

The last team 7DD had lost to other than TK was The Avengers on May 5. In between, 7DD defeated The Avengers twice.

Typically a score of 6,865 is a victory in Rush wars, but not this time. In an upset win, #6 Агрессивные scored 7,014, defeating #3 7DA by 149. This was 7DA’s first back-to-back loss since early February.

Up until July, Агрессивные mostly fought #20 and below alliances. Since then, their war score has steadily increased, resulting in more wars against the Top 20, and then Top 10. In the last two weeks, they defeated #6 be Water, then #6 SPR!TZ, and now #3 7DA.

For those who follow top ranked alliances closely, this wasn’t a complete surprise given Агрессивные’s prior and current success in building to be the top Russian alliance. And on top of that, Агрессивные excels during Rush wars (#2 highest average).

Top 100 alliances by Rush average over the last 7 Rush wars (5 war minimum):

Getting in the way of #11 TLL’s push to break into the Top 10 was #16 Dreamteam Elite, who defeated TLL by 187.

The other two upset wins were #48 Союз Конфедератов’s 6 point win over #45 Casinha do Lobo Mau and #64 Death Realm’s 40 point win over #38 블레스.

For a second war in a row, we had a rare tie. #76 Night Whipsers and unranked Blood-wolf-clan each scored 5,455. I don’t have a color for upset tie…

In other close wars, #51 TAMARIBA barely held off #91 Abusement Park, winning by 91, while #57 OCEANO PACIFICO paddled to an 86 point win over #69 LEGACY.

Average score this war was 5,945, in line with the Rush average of 5,940.

rush

And average Rush score by tier and by winning / defeated alliance:

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War recap:

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Top 100 War Results
War Ended August 11, 2022
War Effect: Rush Attack #2
Next War Effect: Undead Horde

After last war’s wins by #4 The Avengers over #1 7DD and by #6 Агрессивные’s over #3 7DA, let’s start with the impact on the rankings going into this war.

First, the easier one. Агрессивные moves to #4 after its win over 7DA last war and 7DA drops to #5. During the 10-war ranking period, Агрессивные has also defeated #8 Quantum Knights, #6 be Water, and #6 SPR!TZ, with a single loss to #10 SPR!TZ (158 point loss compared to their 437 point win over SPR!TZ). A strong enough record to grab the #4 spot.

Now to the harder one. Up until now, 7DD and TK were ranked by whichever alliance won last due war against each other due to the gap between those two alliances and everyone else. The rest of the Top 10 were ranked by their war performance during the 10-war ranking period. With The Avengers win over 7DD, I’m going back to a 10-war evaluation period for all of the Top 10.

First, the easier part of the analysis. 7DD was #1 as it had defeated TK most recently. Does the loss to The Avengers cause 7DD to lose its #1 rank and allow TK to ascend to the throne?

Yes. TK regains the #1 spot. During the 10-war ranking period, 7DD and TK each won against each other once, with a 466 point win for TK and a 256 point win for 7DD. TK has no other losses during that time, while 7DD has a lost to the then ranked #4 The Avengers.

As I start to write this, I don’t know whether 7DD or The Avengers will be #2. Feel free to skip the mental nonsense that’s about to follow unless you find some perverse pleasure in the topic.

Let’s start with what matters most. On one hand, The Avengers defeated 7DD in their one matchup during the ranking period, and a heads up win carries significant weight. A lot of weight. But the ranking is over a 10-war period and (no longer) based on a single war, so I can’t stop there. A deeper look is needed.

There must be a compelling reason to rank an alliance in the Top 10 lower than an alliance it defeated. So I start with the premise that The Avengers are #2 unless I can convince myself otherwise. Time to look at war results.

The Avengers were defeated by Team Korea twice by an average of 304 points (275 and 333). By itself, that doesn’t move the needle, but it might if it boils down to a comparison of how 7DD performed against TK. What matters more is that The Avengers lost to then ranked #3 7DA. Should The Avengers be #2 since they lost to a “second tier” alliance (no offense, just means anyone not TK or 7DD)? I’m still unsure.

7DD, on the other hand, lost to The Avengers. Can I make a case for them to be #2 without taking into account The Avengers loss to 7DA? Other than their loss to The Avengers, 7DD’s only other loss was a loss to TK by 466 points (a larger loss than either of The Avengers two losses to TK).

7DD did defeat TK by 256 points, while The Avengers lost to TK in both of their matchups. But back to exhibit A. The Avengers beat 7DD.

Then again, also within the ranking period we have 7DD defeating the opponent that defeated The Avengers. 7DD defeated 7DA by a resounding 1,161 points, while The Avengers weren’t able to defeat 7DA. This is the circular logic I deal with from time to time. Team A beat Team B, team B beat Team C, and Team C beat Team A.

Now that I’ve gone through that mental excise of putting the pieces on the table, I’m comfortable with 7DD at #2 and The Avengers at #3. 7DD’s win over TK and 7DA, coupled with The Avenger’s losses to TK and 7DA are just enough in my opinion to outweigh 7DD’s loss to The Avengers.

It’s close, but it boiled down to The Avenger’s loss to 7DA. Without that loss, I’d likely would have put The Avengers at #2 and 7DD at #3 based on the weight of a heads up win, despite the fact that 7DD defeated TK while The Avengers could not.

7DD’s one loss to TK falls off the table next war, so that will be a new factor plus this wars’ results. Sometimes I wish I could get away with the Magic 8-Ball ranking methodology…

Then the last piece within the top 6 ranks is #6 GD. #5 7DA stays ahead of #6 GD. 7DA’s victory over GD fell outside the ranking period, but 7DA has a win over #5 The Avengers while GD has no top 5 victories.

I’d like to stop there because I know what’s next in the recap (this war), but this is what I do.

This war #3 The Avengers matched up against #6 GD. Would this be another war for The Avengers to show they are climbing their way back into a Top 3 tier, or would this be a letdown war for them? Would GD, who has mostly been treading water and not being matched up against their direct peers, grab the moment, or instead fade back a bit more?

When the dust settled, GD walked away with a resounding 934 point win, and I can only imagine The Avengers walked away asking themselves what just happened. Crap, I’m going to have to do more thinking about ranks for the next recap.

Upset wins are more common in the lower ranks, but this war was an exception as both were in the Top 20. #15 Royal Flush defeated #11 Jo Seon by 410, while #19 Greek Frappe narrowly came out ahead in an 18 point win over #12 The Fighting Squirrels.

It’s not that surprising there were very few upset wins this war, and that both were by higher ranked alliances. Typically in Rush wars, the stronger alliances have a even bigger advantage, winning by a wider margin than in other war effects. It’s a steeper hill for the underdog to climb. That’s contrary to the view that Rush wars are unpredictable and prone to unexpected outcomes.

One year ago TK formed as an alliance. Fast forward four months, and t hey exploded into the top tier of alliances. As a fun anniversary event, TK split itself in half and and an intra-alliance war. 15 vs 15. As of this time I don’t know the final results. Did #1 Team T or #1 Team K win? What’s the prize for the winner?

TK war

This war was the final war of TK’s timeout with 7DD. Unless there’s an opt out, we’ll have another battle between the top two alliances.

Three ranked alliances won by more than 2K points. #2 7DD, #4 Агрессивные and #54 Seven Days Emerged.

Of ranked alliances, only 7DD, Агрессивные and #24 Ukraine Love scored 7,000 or more. Uranked SErotonin and Кузькина Мать also joined the 7K club.

In a near upset, #22 STOK held off #31 Crew-Saders by a mere 72 points. Making that look like a blowout was #72 Guerreros Aztecas 38 point win over #69 The United Legends.

Average score for the Top 100 was 5,908, slightly lower than the 6-war average of 5,935 for Rush.
avg

Undead Horde is the next war effect, which is the highest scoring effect at 7,037.

War recap:

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And we have a winner. #1 Team T defeated #1 Team K in a very close 86 point war. Or as some might say, the good looking team came out ahead :slight_smile:

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Top 100 War Results
War Ended August 14, 2022
War Effect: Undead Horde #1

First, 15 of the Top 20 changed ranks going into this war.

7DD’s loss to TK is no longer in the ranking period, so 7DD regains #1 by virtue of it’s 256 point win over TK on July 28 despite 7DD’s loss to The Avengers. All things being equal (1 loss each in this case), a head to head win carries more weight.

Ranks 3 through 7 are very debatable, and I could make a strong argument for any of these alliances to be #3. Or #4. Or… But I’ve spent enough time looking at war results, so here we go.

GD takes the #3 spot by soundly defeating The Avengers by 934 and having no losses outside of the Top 2.

Агрессивные maintains #4. They defeated 7DA by 149 and SPR!TZ by 437, but they lost to then ranked #10 SPR!TZ by 158. Агрессивные has no Top 2 wars, which normally will hold an alliance back in the rankings. However, they have a very strong Top-10 winning record, so they hold onto #4.

#5 went to 7DA who defeated The Avengers by 152, but lost to Агрессивные by a narrow 149 points.

The Avengers fell to #6. Though they defeated 7DD, which makes it hard not to rank them higher, they lost to GD by a resounding 934 and to 7DA by 152. An argument for a higher rating in addition to their 7DD win is that they perform the best against 7DD & TK with an average margin of loss ~300, which is half of 7DA’s and GD’s ~600 average margin of loss. But ultimately, two losses to their peer group is hard to overcome.

SPR!TZ takes #7. They went 1-1 against Агрессивные, but otherwise have only lost to the Top 2. Holding them back at #7 was their 11th war back loss to The One Family. A quasi tie-breaker given how tough the Top 10 rankings have been.

be Water, Quantum Knights, and Xtreme Fury remain unchanged at 8, 9 and 10.

Top20

Disclaimer: If your ranks are different, then yours are correct and mine are wrong.

The only intra-Top 10 war was #5 7DA’s 553 point win over #7 SPR!TZ. They scored a war high total of 15,389 points (7,971 to 7,418), which was 382 points higher than the second highest scoring war.

Of the 12 wars won by the lower ranked alliance, six were upset wins. #45 Impulsive, #47 CHAT, #77 LIGABY, #90 Quantum Legend, #95 БАРСУМ and #107 Romania’s National Team all beat the odds with their victories against significantly stronger opponents.

In close wars, #16 Dreamteam Elite had their hands full with #55 DIE LOGE. With timing running short, Dreamteam scored 5 oneshots in a row to take a very narrow lead. With one flag left for each, DIE LOGE scored a oneshot which would have given it the win unless Dreamteam also scored a oneshot on their last flag. And by scoring that 6th oneshot in a row, Dreamteam narrowly avoids an upset loss.

In another 2 point war, #95 БАРСУМ defeated #69 The United Legends. And in the third closest of the Top 100, #72 Dragons of the North held on to win by 27 over #85 Тайный Легион [TL].

With this being undead horde, the highest scoring war effect, seeing 8K+ scores isn’t that uncommon. This war we had five of the Top 100 scoring more than 8K, with Агрессивные leading the way with 8,102. That’s good enough to tie for the 32nd highest recorded score.

By effect, number of scores 8,000 or higher out of ~18K total scores for all captured wars, ranked and unranked:

Undead Horde: 28
Attack Boost: 24
War Equalizer: 11
Arrow Barrage: 7
Rush Attack: 0

Highest recorded Rush score is 7,570 by Ukraine Love when they were unranked. The highest ranked Rush score is 7,510 by #18 СИНДИКАТ.

On a nice 8-war win is Royal Flush, which is why they’re ranked #13 despite having the 25th highest maximum war score. Recent wins include power hitters #11 Jo SEon and #19 6th_Sense.

War recap:

Edit: Additional wars added to the recap.

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