Summons - bad math?

[Lippy]

@Hmm

I am less thrilled by the math.
Lets use " New Clash of Knights hero is released: Esme" as an example.
I am just going with the information provided

@PlayForFun

“On average, in a 10-pull, you have a 1.65% chance of summoning Esme”

Some useful insights:

• 15 times out of 100, you’ll get Esme by pull 100 (26,000 gems)

Eheh wtf. By pull number 100, most people would have gotten Esme.

I agree, your math is indeed bad.

0.9835 to the 10th power is approx. 0.847. Your chances of NOT pulling Esme in 10 ten-pulls is almost 85%.

On the lighter side, math doesn’t actually care how thrilled you are with it. It’s pretty phlegmatic.