Should i just quit the game?

[Gryphonknight]

@IvyTheTerrible

You’re saying you’re not happy because you received a result that was right in line with the published expectations. It feels like either you don’t understand the probability

This is a common problem with loot boxes

Transparency

Click for transparency discussion

@Gryphonknight

The report says real currency spent should be easier to discover and parental controls should allow hard limits on daily, weekly and monthly spending.

From a discussion on Pokémon GO shiny hunting ( think cosmetic only costumes).

Currently regulations requiring disclosure of loot box odds is incredibly flawed. From hiding cost behind premium in game currency, disclosing probability but not explaining, disclosing probability for a a group of items instead of each item, etc.

Most users are bad a probability.

Suggested fix is instead of odds, post real currency amounts to get 99% chance of result player desires.

Example 1 in 19 chance of a shiny Legendary raid boss Kyogre

versus

$85 for a 99% chance of a shiny Legendary raid boss Kyogre ( at $1 per raid pass, see math below )

Australia had a very good report that even free 2 play users are impacted as lootbox business modes require more base grinding designed into the game, to encourage micro transactions, than business models without lootboxes.

PDF link

From Australia inquiry

https://www.aph.gov.au/Parliamentary_Business/Committees/Senate/Environment_and_Communications/Gamingmicro-transactions/Report 8

Math

X raid passes at 1 in 19 odds for 99% chance

( 1 - 0.05263 ) ^ x = 0.01%

0.9473 ^ x = 0.01

x = log ( 0.01 ) / log ( 0.9473 )

= 85.1749003886732

Check 0.9473 ^ 85= 0.010095

(Reddit - Dive into anything)

(Are lootboxes gambling? Australian inquiry - #125 by Gryphonknight)

FIN