[Research] RNG as a paywall [Analysis, Paywall]

[Gryphonknight]

Math I did for another topic

@Gryphonknight

Math

Two epic troop tokens a month

10% chance of a 4* Troop
20% chance of a 4* Troop per month

X tokens for 99% chance

( 1 - 0.2 ) ^ x = 0.01%
0.8 ^ x = 0.01
X = log ( 0.01 ) / log ( 0.8 )
= 20.63
= 1 year 8 months

Check
0.8 ^ 20.63= 0.1

Out of 10k players
100+ will go 10 months without a 4* Troop

2% chance of a green 4* Troop
4% chance of a green 4* Troop per month

X tokens for 99% chance

( 1 - 0.04 ) ^ x = 0.01%
0.96 ^ x = 0.01
X = log ( 0.01 ) / log ( 0.96 )
= 112.811
= 9 years 4 months

Check
0.96 ^ 112.811= 0.01

Out of 10k players
100+ will go 5 years without a green 4* Troop