🌴 Portal Stats & Summon Results – Sand Empire 2020

This thread is for information and discussion on the Sand Empire 2020 Summon Portal, and sharing Summon Results.

:game_die: Sand Empire 2020 Appearance Rates

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Appearance Rates

Click for OLD 2019 Sand Empire Appearance Rates, for comparison

OLD 2019 Sand Empire Appearance Rates

Classic Season 1 Heroes

  • Rare Classic Hero: 56.8%
  • Epic Classic Hero: 20.8%
  • Legendary Classic Hero: 1.0%

Seasonal Heroes

  • Rare Seasonal Hero: 14.2%
  • Epic Seasonal Hero: 5.7%
  • Legendary Seasonal Hero: 1.5%

BONUS DRAW

Legendary Hero of the Month: 1.3%


:dizzy: Epic Hero Tokens Can Be Used for Seasonal Summoning

The Seasonal Summons replaces the regular Epic Hero Summons.

Because of that, unlike Challenge Event Summons, the Summoning Portal for Seasonal Events allows using saved up Epic Hero Tokens that can otherwise normally only be used for Epic Hero Summons.

That makes Seasonal Events the only place you can currently use Epic Hero Tokens for a chance at non-Season 1 heroes.

You’ll also have the same chance at the HOTM as usual when using Epic Hero Tokens.


:gem: Summon Costs

  • Single: 1 Epic Hero Token or 300 Gems
  • 10x: 2600 Gems

:money_with_wings: Analysis of Summon Appearance Rates

This table shows the cumulative probability of different Summon events, based on a total number of Summons (1x, 10x, 30x, 100x, 500x, 1500x)

Please note that NO occurrence is ever actually 100%; the 100% entries in the table below indicate cumulative probabilities sufficiently close to 100% that they are expressed as such for simplicity. All other numbers are rounded to the nearest 0.1%.

Occurence 1x 10x 30x 100x 500x 1500x
Get At Least 1 Season 1 Hero 78.6% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Get At Least 1 Sand Empire Hero 21.4% 91.0% 99.9% 100% 100% 100%
Get At Least 1 5* (excluding HOTM Bonus Draw) 2.5% 22.4% 53.2% 92.0% 99.9% 100%
Get At Least 1 Sand Empire 5* 1.5% 14.0% 36.5% 77.9% 99.9% 100%
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Sand Empire 5* 0.5% 4.9% 14.0% 39.4% 91.8% 99.3%
Get At Least 1 Sand Empire 4* 5.7% 44.4% 82.8% 99.7% 100% 100%
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Sand Empire 4* 2.85% 25.0% 58.0% 94.5% 100% 100%
Get At Least 1 Sand Empire 3* 14.2% 78.4% 99.0% 100% 100% 100%
Get At Least 1 of a Particular Sand Empire 3* 7.1% 52.1% 89.0% 99.9% 100% 100%

Putting That in Perspective

  • :no_entry_sign: If 1 million players each did :one::zero: Summons, 776,000 of those players would NOT get a Sand Empire or Season 1 5* Hero

  • :no_entry_sign: If 1 million players each did :three::zero: Summons, 420,000 of those players would NOT get Gafar

  • :no_entry_sign: If 1 million players each did :one::zero::zero: Summons, 221,000 of those players would NOT get a Sand Empire 5* Hero

  • :no_entry_sign: If 1 million players each did :five::zero::zero: Summons, 82,000 of those players would NOT get Roc


:link: Other 2020 Sand Empire Threads

6 Likes

Wait. I thought seasonal event summons have a lower summoning chance for seasonal legendaries? Have they just increased it to 1.5%. I was pretty sure it was lower in the previous seasonal events because I felt I was pretty lucky pulling Master Lepus using EHTs and Rana by a x10 pull last year. @Guvnor Can you please check? Thank you so much.

1 Like
Click to see old 2019 odds.

A969EB5D-DEDD-47C5-BFF2-4ABDE1641965

Just as I thought. This screenshot was obtained from the Hisan thread. Now, which of these two are the upcoming summoning odds in the SandEmpire?

1 Like

If you click on the more details, you’ll see the 0.6% was for 2019. This was a specific change. Note though that things are subject to change when it goes live. Errors, if any, will be corrected then.

It USED to be 0.6% (pre 2020 updating of the Seasonal Events).

Since updating the Seasonal Events in 2020 when they added an extra difficulty, more heroes and adjusted the gameplay etc; they also updated the odds for summons odds in the portal too :slight_smile:

@littleKAF and @Guvnor Thanks for the info.

1 Like

Just setting myself up for disappointment ahead of time, so that I don’t feel the need to come and vent here later. :grin:

10 Likes

Oi now; I didn’t post that haha

(I did a double take lol)

CheekyBastard

2 Likes

Or…
Reverse psychology :thinking:. I hope your fortunes change this time around.

1 Like

Sand portal just opened, spent 12 EHTs I’ve been gathering for 3 months, and pulled twelve S1 3*s. It was exactly as much fun as it sounds like.

4 Likes

I’ve used just a one EHT, got Jabbar :slight_smile: I’m satisfied enough, the rest of tokens can wait for Christmas.

3 Likes

I already have Rana stuck at 3/70. Now I can ascend her since Roc is… just a dumb bird.

1 Like

First one out of the gate. I wish it was fast speed

5 Likes

Jabbar was @MysterySpin’s 4* of choice for certain tourneys, and he is pretty tanky even unemblemed. Congrats.

2 Likes

I too got jabbar and then renfeld for 2 EHT.

So basically I should expect to get a bunch of sand up my porthole.

Sounds about right.

3 Likes

13 tokens and all I have to show for it that I didn’t have already are Hisan and Arman.

Plus Raffaele who I already maxed.

The wait for a tank continues. Was hoping for Yunan :frowning:

1 Like

Ouch!

Makes me feel a bit better about mine! I got two 3* sand heroes I didn’t have

1st ever Sand Empire pull (didnt pull the last 2 years).

6 Likes

OMG, my first 5 stars event hero, and the second one :confused:

11 Likes

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