Odds disclosed


#1

Finally we see real and official numbers for hero drop rates. I don’t know if it was imposed by someone or a free choice from Small Giant, neverless is really great and a huge step forward in my eyes.

I have to say drop rates seems to be worse that what we were expected, and now i would like to know if training camp odds are similar of our conclusions.


#2

Which odds are worse than you expected?

  • I’ve always used 2.5% as my assumption for 5* from Elemental/Event, which turns out to be spot on.
    I was surprised at the relative scarcity of event heroes to regular heroes in the Event portal; no wonder event 5 are so scarce, and getting a particular event 5* very difficult. (Guardian Panther, I’m looking at you!)
  • The 1.5% from Epic is a little lower than I thought.
  • The 10% for 4* troops was higher than I thought, but exactly what @Avicious assumes in his spreadsheets.

Now the odds of 4* ascension items in the Ascension Packs – those are pretty low, but we’ve always known that. I was surprised about how low “low” was.


#3

Taking in consideration that (for now) training camps odds for legendaries are estimated on ~6%, i was thinking that the portal was about ~4%.

1,5% for normal and 1% for event togheter still are less then half that prevision.

And HotM at 1,3% means only 0,3% better then a event hero, which is totally not the feeling i had.


#4
  1. We have actual odds???!!! Where? How have I missed this? Please tell me where I can see this stuff.

  2. I’m going to quote myself from March this year:

If the actual odds are 2.5% for elemental/event and 1.5% for Epic, then our guesstimates were pretty good.


#5

You see comunication in the release note, and the actual odds clicking on the little “i” (information button) inside every portal.


#6

This makes me very happy. Transparency is good and hiding the odds always seemed just a tiny bit unethical.

I expect that the vast majority of players who come to the forum will be enraged, for reasons I cannot yet imagine. I look forward to finding out what it is that makes them angry about this.