Muggy Pull Rate

I am not good enough at statistics to accurately calculate this but I pulled 14 Muggys out of 60 pulls, which just seems like an absurdly high number given the published statistics of the Atlantis gate.

2 Likes

agreed! I got 6 of them in 40 pull

Spice up your roster…

6 Likes

3 stars atlantis hero have 51.4% chance to be summoned
I used to get dozens of Gill-ra
They might increased the chance for Muggy as he is new

1 Like

Sooo many muggy’s. I almost have one ascended to the second tier just feeding him to himself.

1 Like

The thing to remember is that there’s a 7.3% chance of each individual Atlantis 3* on any draw. You are over 2.5x more likely to get Muggy on a draw than you are to get a 5* hero.

So the probability table of Muggys on 60 pulls is:

Number of Muggy Percentage One-in-x
0 1.05% 95.33
1 4.97% 20.13
2 11.56% 8.65
3 17.64% 5.67
4 19.84% 5.04
5 17.53% 5.70
6 12.68% 7.88
7 7.72% 12.95
8 4.04% 24.77
9 1.84% 54.33
10 0.74% 134.99
11 0.27% 376.33
12 0.09% 1167.87
13 0.02% 4008.08
14 0.01% 15128.90

The probability of getting 14 Muggys is definitely low. But at 1 in 15000, we would expect about 100 such draws among active players.

Get used to seeing a lot of Muggy coming out of Atlantis.

5 Likes

I’ve pulled 2 in 14 individual pulls.

3/29 here.

I want two more to form a Muggy Squad.

1 Like

Got 6 Muggy stuff out of 40 pulls, fed two already to one of itself.

I’ll keep and max those three Muggies. They might be very useful in monthly events.

If you want to know the “Muggy Rates” for fewer summonings, here are 10 and 30:

10 summonings

Number of Muggy Percentage One-in-x
0 46.79% 2.14
1 36.92% 2.71
2 13.11% 7.63
3 2.76% 36.24
4 0.38% 262.43
5 0.04% 2771.25
6 0.00% 42140.33
7 0.00% 934494.83

30 summonings

Number of Muggy Percentage One-in-x
0 10.24% 9.76
1 24.25% 4.12
2 27.75% 3.60
3 20.44% 4.89
4 10.89% 9.19
5 4.47% 22.39
6 1.47% 68.08
7 0.40% 251.63
8 0.09% 1109.10
9 0.02% 5749.51
10 0.00% 34693.84
11 0.00% 241799.79
12 0.00% 1935193.68
2 Likes

@Garanwyn, has that been confirmed by SGG? That is, I see the rate for each star level of hero and believe it to be true, but I am not aware of them saying that that probability is then divided evenly between the heroes that are in that star level.

It doesn’t make a big difference to me as I feel sufficiently informed and comfortable about the probability in different aspects of the game - more just curious than anything else.

i pulled 3/25 here.i ll keep them

They have never given a statement of the distribution within a category. But there’s also no reason to suppose it isn’t uniform. There’s no modal hero that people complain about getting too many of.

5 Likes

There’s a nearly 100% probability of pulling anything… :rofl:

4 Likes

Cool, thanks. Uniformity has long been my assumption as well, but I was curious if you had ever heard anything official. Tweaking the rate per hero would be - in my opinion - disingenuous, but within the published percentage chances.

4 Likes

Single Atlantis coin pull first and only… muggy lol

1 Like

i pulled 1/21 here…

Is that a good thing or a bad thing? :thinking:

Depends on the other droppings…

Cookie Settings