Welcome to the forums!
It’s nice to see a RCT 830 right here in the RCT!
(That’s an inside joke. The regulars will lap it right up!)
Your concern APPEARS to be what we in the biz call a “legitimate” concern. Here in this thread we have "totally legitimate, 100% real concerns that MUST be addresssed immediately OR else 
" I understand that the difference is subtle, and as a new forum goer it maybe isn’t immediately clear what the distinction is. But, sometimes that’s life my friend.
What I’m trying to say is: to answer your question. Yes. Luck plays a role. Also. Money. But either way, your question probably doesn’t belong in this thread due to its apparent legitimacy.
edit:
I mean. That’s one interpretation. 