Don’t spend anything more than you’re willing to lose
I’m going to be the outlier and say to go for guardians.
Between jackal and falcon, you have two of the 5 elemental down heroes.
Both are killer in their colours and are very handy in titans and across the board generally.
Atlantis yes you have the chance at Wilbur and Proteus but statistically you’ve got a better chance of picking up one (if not both) of jackal and falcon then getting EITHER of Proteus and Wilbur.
Yeah . You have put some nice cards over the table.
I will analyze all the options
If only this hotm would be better i would do the pull 100%
6 actually. You forgot KA, I guess
Poor KA… Replaced by a polar bear
Similar situation, I’m going for Guardians. They have the most unique of the useful skills. Wilbur and Proteus are great but you can replace or cover for most of what they give you. Jackal and Falcon are simply the only ones who bring elemental defense down in their colors. Sure eventually they will release 5 star yellow and red def down, but Jackal and Falcon will still be the only 4 stars that do it which will always have plenty of value
Little bit of maths:
You have a 5.7% chance of summoning EITHER guardian Jackal or falcon.
You have a 14.6% chance of summoning one of the 9x 4* season 2 heroes.
Translates to 3.24% chance of summoning EITHER Wilbur or Proteus.
One desired hero
In terms of the odds of getting one of the desired heroes in a 10x pull:
Guardians: 44.39% chance of getting either falcon OR jackal
Atlantis: 27.76% chance of getting either Proteus OR Wilbur.
Both Desired Heroes
In terms of getting Both the desired heroes on a 10x pull:
Guardians: 5.8% chance of getting BOTH jackal & Falcon
Atlantis: 2.1% chance of getting BOTH wilbur & proteus
Thanks @DracoLovesRi for a correction to the “Get Both” heroes maths.
Archive/ Removed Edits
Guardians: 25.11% chance of getting BOTH jackal and falcon
Atlantis: 15.07% chance of getting BOTH Wilbur and Proteus
(Note I’m not as confident with this math… Statistics isn’t my strongest math suite…)
Was referring to colour more than specific heroes. Typo coming out on mobile.
I didn’t criticize you
Boldtusk+ Falcon+ Gormek ( later Wilbur) is a nasty 3x strong / 3x neutral stack.
After 2+ years, most of my accounts STILL do not have falcon, though one account has 4x Wilbur and 4x Proteus ( including 2x leveled Proteus).
1x or 2x Jackal would just be a bonus.
2x Jackal ( or 2x Valeria from Halloween) work very well on the same team.
Click for notes
Basic Color stacking
Color stacking, Empires hidden buff
Neutral color stacking
Red 4* heroes
Jackal and Falcon on defense
4* limited time heroes
Jackal versus Falcon
This is an old post ( before buddy) but still useful.
Well, that’s a good question, really enjoyed the insight.
I really dont like the guardians event (I dont know why), but between santa/mother north/grimble/atlantis heroes, I going to save my gems for Guardians…
… are you trying to make all us other FTP hate you, what luck! Get yourself some elemental debuffers, you’ll probably end up with all three
Get both in Guardians off 10: 5.8%
In Atlantis: 2.1%
Added: Guardians. C^10_2 * 0.943^8 * 0.057^2 * (1-1/4-1/4) +
C^10_3 * 0.943^7 * 0.057^3 * (1-1/8-1/8) + …
Care to share the math? I don’t think I properly eliminated the possibility of option a after it was successful
I think J essentially calculated the odds of getting two desired heroes (non specific) off the 10x rolls…
Click for summon discussion
The master analyzer
Have you done an analysis/comparison between how many atlantis coins one can farm vs how many event coins one can farm and which of the 2 is easier supplemented with gems instead of coins?
I’ve been playing for 15 months. I finished hard mode of Season 2 so i did lots of Atlantis summon. By the way i did 10x Atlantis 3 times till today. Just keeping all gems for them. This will be my first evet summon. As far as i read , Guardian is the best option amongst all events. I am not chasing after 5* , 4* heros are enough for me I did’nt get any HOTM so far. If i get one i don’t say NO.
By the way i kept 15 EHT for Christmas Event, i got Buddy too.
On one hand,
Atlantis guaranteed coins are limited, while Challenge event guaranteed coins come every month with tier completion rewards.
For low level players, not getting loot tier 9+ on rare titans, guaranteed Challenge coins are easier to get.
On the other hand,
Challenge events have more useful 4* heroes to summon which helps get loot tier 9+ and Platinum/ Diamond raid chests since 3* ascension items for 4* heroes are much more accessible.
On the gripping hand,
Season 3 is coming, and Beta Beat shows some very useful 3* heroes ( yellow 3* fast minion healer ) and 4* heroes ( purple 4* attack all reduce maximum HP hero ).
I would recommend doing 3x 1x Summons for Guardian, 3x 1x Summons for January Atlantis Summons then again for February ( if HotM is not nerfed), and 3x 1x Winter summons ( trying for Buddy ).
Summons are gambling ( see above post about odds) most times you will get purple 3* Prisca, or similar.
I was also between these two events and decided to skip December Atlantis all together.
Will do a ten pull + whatever tokens I get at Guardians, and a 10-pull in January Atlantis, where the 5* selection is more suitable to my needs than december.
Well, I also managed to get two Grimbles in total of 12 pulls this month, so really avoiding pulling any more in rest of December.