If you’ve gotten a long run of bad boards before, you’re not alone
Play this game long enough, and you’re going to hit runs of bad boards. It’s not because the tile engine is biased/rigged/cheating/bad RNG (we have very good evidence that it isn’t ). It’s because real random sequences exhibit streaks. It’s really no different than those days in real life when everything seems to go wrong all at once. There’s no grand conspiracy; just the nature of true randomness.
Here’s my worst sequence of 20 boards. All are with me color stacking 3/2.
Tiles of my strongest color | My TP minus Opponent TP | Result |
---|---|---|
5 | -222 | W |
7 | -431 | W |
3 | -231 | W |
7 | -398 | W |
6 | -200 | L |
8 | -200 | W |
5 | -587 | L |
4 | -587 | L |
4 | -587 | L |
8 | -188 | L |
5 | -188 | L |
6 | -188 | L |
7 | -152 | L |
4 | -152 | W |
9 | -270 | W |
4 | -348 | W |
9 | -344 | W |
2 | -349 | L |
4 | -349 | W |
As you can see, that’s not a very pleasant run of luck. And I never end up hitting enemies weaker than I am, so these boards are pretty challenging.
There are 13 boards in there with fewer than 7 tiles of my strong color, 3 boards in there with 7 tiles, and 4 boards with 8 or more tiles of my strong color. But this really understates how bad this run was. Take a look at this “average” board from this period:
Yeah, I have 7 blue and 7 yellow. I guess it’s possible to distribute them less helpfully. But you’d have to work at it. This board has exactly 1 available play, and that’s dumping purple tiles into Sartana. Not my preferred starting move…
I’ll add here that the game wasn’t hopeless. I actually went on to win this one.
But some of these boards? Whoo boy…
3 healer front line, right? Should have been a cake walk. It was not (if you’re interested in my reasoning behind my rather unconventional team choice, here you go).
My record through this sequence was 11 Wins, 9 Losses, and that included a streak of 7 losses in a row, where the boards just would not cooperate. It happens.
So the next time you’re getting a run of really awful boards, just remember: you’re not alone. Everybody gets bad boards.