Elemental Chest Frequency - days tracking and results > estimated between 4 to 16 days

All,

I know this is topic has been covered in various capacities but I am now tracking my chest completion to see if there is any rhyme or reason to the elemental chest frequency. I JUST completed my first cycle and wanted to post results. I am just starting the next cycle so I will likely only update one a week or so if the cycle holds true, but it could be less or more often if it does follow a truly random pattern/ A few assumptions:

  1. An elemental chest can occur on any of the 3 wanted chests - I have personally only had it come on the monster and hero chests, but have read that it can occur on the titan chest

  2. A titan chest fill is NOT a 5 day exercise for me/my alliance - so a titan chest fill for me may take longer than 5 days. We regularly beat 6* but canā€™t regularly beat 7*'s so it takes longer. And for tracking 1 I was in flight on a titan chest so I am only counting the newly spawned ones since my last elemental wanted mission.

I hope this is helpful and makes sense to everyone but if it doesnā€™t feel free to ask questions or make suggestions,

Tracking 1 - based on a initial Dark chest (M) on 12/3/17:

Total new spawned Monster chests: 14
Total new spawned Hero chests: 13
Total new Spawned Titan test: 1
Total chests spawned: 28
Total days between elemental chest spawn: 8 - 12/11/17 spawned another dark chest (M)

Tracking 2 - based on dark chest on 12/11/17

Total new spawned Monster chests: 22
Total new spawned Hero chests: 20
Total new Spawned Titan test: 1
Total chests spawned: 43
Total days between elemental chest spawn: 11 - 12/22/17 spawned a fire chest (M)

Tracking 3 - based on dark chest on 12/22/17

Total new spawned Monster chests: 15
Total new spawned Hero chests: 12
Total new Spawned Titan test: 2
Total chests spawned: 29
Total days between elemental chest spawn: 8 - 12/30/17 spawned another fire chest (H)

Tracking 4 - based on fire chest 12/30/17
Total new spawned Monster chests: 25
Total new spawned Hero chests: 21
Total new Spawned Titan test: 2
Total chests spawned: 48
Total days between elemental chest spawn: 13 - 1/12/18 spawned a nature chest (M)

Tracking 5 - based on nature chest 1/12/18
Total new spawned Monster chests: 15
Total new spawned Hero chests: 12
Total new Spawned Titan test: 1
Total chests spawned: 28
Total days between elemental chest spawn: 7 - 1/19/18 spawned a dark chest (H)

Tracking 6 - based on dark chest 1/19/18
Total new spawned Monster chests: 20
Total new spawned Hero chests: 16
Total new Spawned Titan test: 2
Total chests spawned: 38
Total days between elemental chest spawn: 11 - 1/30/18 spawned a holy chest

Tracking 7 - based on holy chest 1/30/18
Total new spawned Monster chests:
Total new spawned Hero chests:
Total new Spawned Titan test:
Total chests spawned:
Total days between elemental chest spawn:

43 Likes

Hey thanks for the info sleeperZ.

A player in my Alliance posted a few days ago that they got a " golden" chest rather than the usual " purple" which turned up the to offer up some decent ascension items they needed!

Has anyone else received a ā€œgoldenā€ chest???

2 Likes

The colors of rare Elemental chests were recently changed to reflect the color of the element needed to fill the chest.

Itā€™s working properly! :wink:

2 Likes

Elemental chest with version 1.9 reflect the color you need.
So purple chest now is only for dark, blue chest for ice, and so on.

Your friend probably has a ā€œsimplyā€ holy chest.

2 Likes

Iā€™m up to 27 chests spawned (assuming I am doing it right; itā€™s not an exact science as I have to log it in my phone notepad on the weekend and I forget sometimes exactly, haha) with <1hr until the 28th. This could be interesting - especially if it shows up today or tomorrow.

edit: sadly it didnā€™t show up yesterday, so up to 29. We shall see.

Just updated for activity over the holiday break.

1 Like

Thanks for the info @slepperz96BT. I have clocked mine at about once every 20 days.

No problem everyone. Though no one really is posting I will keep updating :slight_smile:

2 Likes

Subject
[Raw Data] Mission between Wanted elemental missions (chests)

Posted from my smartphone

Wanted missions (chests)
Monster= 27
Heroes= 23
Titans= 3

Total= 53 chests and 20 days

Raw Data

Wanted: Ice mission
Ice Sa 2017-12-16 (Hidden blade!!!) 3:10P

12-17 @?P, 12-18 @?P, 12-18 @6P
12-19@11A, 12-20@5A, 12-20@11P 12-22@5A, 12-22@6P, 12-23@9A 12-23@10P, 12-24@11A,12-25@2A 12-25@5P, 12-26@9A,12-26@10P,
=15
12-27@1P, 12-28@4A, 12-29@5A, 12-29@5P, 12-30@11A,12-31@4A,
=21
12-31@10P, 1-1@11A,1-2@4A
1-2@6P, 1-3@7A, 1-4@5A

Monsters= 27

12-17 @?P, 12-17 @?P, 12-18 @4P,
12-19@11A, 12-20@9A, 12-21@5A,12-22@8A,12-23@7A,12-24@6A,12-25@4A,12-25@8P,12-26@2P, 12-27@11A,12-28@10A,12-29@8A
=15
12-30@5A, 12-30@9P,12-31@2P,
=18
1-1@11A,1-2@7A,1-2@9P,
1-3@5P, 1-4@10A
Heroes= 23

12-22@7P, 12-29@4P
=2
1-4@11A
Titans = 3

Wanted: Nature mission
Nature Th 2018-1-4 (Telescope!)

3 Likes

Thanks and welcome to the party :slight_smile:

Just updated - had a very high one - almost 50 chest spawns! Maybe that is the upper boundary (50) if that indeed is the format.

I have to admit the pattern so far has been one in the 20ā€™s followed by one in the 40ā€™sā€¦

1 Like

It feels like itā€™s been a long while since my last chest. I donā€™t feel like Iā€™ve ever gotten one after only 20 something normal chests, but Iā€™m going to take some notes after the next one and see. Good stuff here.

1 Like

The speculation in here is a floor and a ceiling for how quick and how long you have to wait - Iā€™d say itā€™s probably based on chest fills not actual day duration as you can see I am pretty religiously filling chests. That said, my alliance member said he got one in 3 days after his last oneā€¦so who knows.

1 Like

Just updated for the latest dataā€¦hope people are finding this usefulā€¦

Just for info. The other day I had consecutive dark elemental chests in the raid position. I had regular hero wanted chest between those

3 Likes

I just updated for the ā€˜missionā€™ I had it on, M = Monster H = Hero T = Titan (yet to happen for me but Iā€™ve seen captures showing it is possible).

@talisax - how far apart were the consecutive dark chests on the raid position? If you recall. Literally like one after the other meaning a day or so?

12hrs apart. Finished one 12hr cool down and the next one was dark again

1 Like

Well, maybe this is a ā€˜trying to make something out of RNG nothingnessā€™ scenario and human nature trying to make sense of it, maybe any chest at any time can be it. Iā€™ll try a bit longer but this is helpful if it truly is just an RNG thing.

1 Like

Niceā€¦I might get 1 elemental chest every couple of months if that.

1 Like

Posted an update. Seems like I am at least range bound for these, though I know others have posted faster (and slower) times.