Elemental Chest Frequency - days tracking and results > estimated between 4 to 16 days


#161

Elemental chest today

Days	AMs

31/08/2018 Compass 3* + Cape 3*
16/09/2018 16 Dark Tabard 4* + Trap Tools 3*
29/09/2018 13 Holy Chest Compass 3*
05/10/2018 6 Monster Green Compass 3*
21/10/2018 16 Raid Holy chest orbe 3*
03/11/2018 13 Raid dark Darts 4* + Tonic 4*
08/11/2018 5 Monster green nothing
23/11/2018 15 Monster blue Trap Tools 3*
05/12/2018 12 Monster blue Orbe 3* + H Blade 3*
19/12/2018 14 Raid blue Trap Tools 3*
27/12/2018 8 Raid blue Hidden blade 3*
03/01/2019 7 Raid green nothing
11/01/2019 8 Monster holy Sturdy shield 3*
20/01/2019 9 Monster blue Orbe 3* + H Blade 3*
30/01/2019 10 Raid red nothing

A good one… :ok_hand::grin:


#162
Days	AMs

31/08/2018 Compass 3* + Cape 3*
16/09/2018 16 Dark Tabard 4* + Trap Tools 3*
29/09/2018 13 Holy Chest Compass 3*
05/10/2018 6 Monster Green Compass 3*
21/10/2018 16 Raid Holy chest orbe 3*
03/11/2018 13 Raid dark Darts 4* + Tonic 4*
08/11/2018 5 Monster green nothing
23/11/2018 15 Monster blue Trap Tools 3*
05/12/2018 12 Monster blue Orbe 3* + H Blade 3*
19/12/2018 14 Raid blue Trap Tools 3*
27/12/2018 8 Raid blue Hidden blade 3*
03/01/2019 7 Raid green nothing
11/01/2019 8 Monster holy Sturdy shield 3*
20/01/2019 9 Monster blue Orbe 3* + H Blade 3*
30/01/2019 10 Raid red nothing
05/02/2019 6 Monster Blue Trap Tools 3*

A new one … A little bit better than the last one …


#163

I think that the number is off by 1 - I do 2 monster and 1 raid plus a partial raid every day (it’s closer to 2 raid per day but not always). So it’s probably 3.5 per day to be conservative + whatever you layer on for titan.


#164

I noticed that too afterwards, but was too lazy to correct it since I saw you didnt replied; anyway, this means that the numbers are diminishing and getting closer to the 10 days aproximation between elem chests :wink:

anddd… corrected; and I was right @sleeperZ96BT; you have the same margins 4-16 days; could try to make some graphs, but im just about to leave work :stuck_out_tongue:

28 8
43 12.28571429
29 8.285714286
48 13.71428571
28 8
38 10.85714286
27 7.714285714
53 15.14285714
50 14.28571429
33 9.428571429
41 11.71428571
33 9.428571429
28 8
54 15.42857143
22 6.285714286
15 4.285714286
15 4.285714286
28 8
37 10.57142857
29 8.285714286
53 15.14285714
18 5.142857143
43 12.28571429
23 6.571428571
53 15.14285714
43 12.28571429
36 10.28571429
20 5.714285714
43 12.28571429
52 14.85714286
31 8.857142857
53 15.14285714
28 8
17 4.857142857
51 14.57142857
21 6
35 10
16 4.571428571
19 5.428571429
42 12
48 13.71428571

#165

yup. it sucks that we have to be pleased with only a 3* am from an elemchest :confused:


#166

That’s what my gut has always maintained, 7-10 days between chests was my norm.


#167
Date Color Pos 4 :star: 3 :star: EHT ETT :gem: :trident: :large_blue_circle: :champagne: :crossed_swords:
2019-01-01 Holy Raid Tonic Gloves 1 1 20 5 NA WE trainer1
2019-01-11 Holy Monster - Blade - 1 20 5 NA WE trainer3
2019-01-22 Holy Raid Tonic Compass 1 1 30 10 20 WE trainer1
2019-02-11 Holy Raid - Compass - - 30 5 30 RE trainer2

#168
Date Colour Days 4*am 3*am EHT ETT Gems Emb
03nov18 dark - 1 1 - 1 20
15dec18 fire - - 2 - - 30
27dec18 natureH 12 - - - 1 30
02jan2019 iceM 6 - 1 2 - 40
07jan2019 fireM 5 - 1 1 - 30
17jan2019 natureM 10 - 2 - 1 40 5
27jan2019 natureH 10 - 1 - - 30 30
12feb2019 fireH 16 - 1 1 - 30 10
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -

#169

My question would be, do you have any idea of the number of chests you spurn in total between each elemental chest.
I thought I read that somewhere, the average no of chest between each elemental chest may point out some trends or patterns.


#170

I dont know if its chests or days…
But if you open 3.5 chests per day seems to be between 4 to 16 days.


#171

OK, guess I will have to track the data.
Thanks


#172

That’s likely my data being quoted, or my data at least is playing a heavy role in that range (as it is consistent with what I found).

I’ve found E&P life much more enjoyable since I STOPPED tracking stuff. I tracked this and TC 20 for well over a year. It was so random I stopped, sent my results to those tracking, and moved on. I honestly feel like I am getting things more rapidly now and it’s 100% likely it’s because I am NOT tracking the disappointments anymore LOL


#173

you are 1 of the 5 data pools; and you confirmed what we assumed


#174

Tracking now almost one year - average time between chests: 10.8 days

10.8 Date Chest 1120 Flask Trainer Loot Tickets Atlantis
27/02/2018 Ice Dragon bone Orb of magic Orb of magic Super Antidotes 30 Token Token Token Raid 1* Red
16 15/03/2018 Holy Orichalcum Hidden Blade Tall boots Revive Scroll 30 Hero Token Token Raid 1* Green
14 29/03/2018 Ice Meteor fragment Orb of magic Fine Gloves Super Antidotes 30 Troop Token Token Raid 1* Yellow
10 08/04/2018 Dark Dragon bone Orb of magic Fine gloves Tornado 30 Troop Token Token Raid 2* purple
16 24/04/2018 Dark Orichalcum Sturdy shield Mystic Rings Dragon attack 30 Token Token Token World 1* Blue
8 02/05/2018 Fire Orichalcum Sturdy Shield Hidden Blade Super Antidotes 30 Hero Token Token Alliance 2* Red
9 11/05/2018 Fire Orichalcum Fine Gloves Scabbard Dragon Banner 30 Hero Token Token Alliance 1*Yellow 1
10 21/05/2018 Holy Meteor fragments Warm Cape Battle Manual Miracle Scroll 50 Troop Token Token Raid 3* Green 2
5 26/05/2018 Holy Meteor fragments Sturdy Shield Warm Cape Miracle Scroll 30 Hero Token Token Raid 2*Red 2
13 08/06/2018 Fire Meteor fragments Tall Boots Tall Boots Revive Scroll 40 Token Token Token Alliance 1*Blue 1
12 20/06/2018 Holy Meteor fragments Sturdy Shield Compass Time Stop 20 Token Token Token World 1*Purple 1
12 02/07/2018 Ice Meteor Fragments Chainmail Shirt Warm Cape Super Antidotes 30 Troop Troop Token Raid 1*Green 1
7 09/07/2018 Dark Orichalcum Orb of Magic Warm Cape Super Healing 40 Troop Token Token World 1*Red 2
12 21/07/2018 Holy Dragon Bone Scabbard Orb of Magic Super Antidotes 40 Token Token Token Raid 1*Yellow 2
6 27/07/2018 Ice Dragon Bone Trap Tools Battle Manual Super Antidotes 40 Hero Token Token World 2*Blue 1
16 12/08/2018 Nature Orichalcum Tall Boots Chainmail Shirt Bomb Attack 30 Troop Troop Token Alliance 3*Purple 1
10 22/08/2018 Dark Dragon Bone Mystic Rings Fine Gloves Super Mana 30 Hero Token Token Raid 1*Yellow 2 5
10 01/09/2018 Holy Orichalcum Tall Boots Chainmail Super Healing 20 Hero Troop Token Alliance 1* Yellow 3
7 08/09/2018 Ice Dragon Bone Mysterious Tonic Orb of Magic Dragon Banner 50 Token Token Token World 2*Purple 1 5
11 19/09/2018 Holy Meteor Fragments Tall Boots Chainmail Time Stop 50 Troop Token Token Alliance 1*Red 3 10
11 30/09/2018 Holy Dragon Bone Tall Boots Sturdy Shield Revive Scroll 30 Hero Hero Token World 1*Purple 6 5
14 14/10/2018 Dark Orichalcum Mysterious Tonic Compass Bomb Attack 40 Troop Token Token World 1*Blue 6 10
12 26/10/2018 Nature Dragon Bone Compass Orb of Magic Dragon Banner 50 Hero Token Token Raid 1*Red 6 10
7 02/11/2018 Dark Orichalcum Compass Hidden Blade Time Stop 40 Troop Token Token Raid 1*Blue 6 10
5 07/11/2018 Nature Dragon Bone Battle Manual Chainmail Dragon Banner 30 Hero Hero Token World 3*Blue 6 5
9 16/11/2018 Ice Orichalcum Royal Tabard Compass Bomb Attack 20 Token Token Token Raid 1*Red 6 5
13 29/11/2018 Ice Meteor Fragments Scabbard Trap Tools Super Antitodes 30 Hero Token Token Alliance 1*Purple 6 5
8 07/12/2018 Dark Meteor Fragments Battle Manual Hidden Blade Dragon Attack 20 Hero Troop Token World 1*Green 6 5
14 21/12/2018 Ice Dragon Bone Scabbard Sturdy Shield Tornado 40 Hero Token Token World 1*Yellow 6 5
11 01/01/2019 Nature Dragon Bone Compass Compass Miracle Scroll 30 Hero Token Token Raid 2*Red 3 5
15 16/01/2019 Nature Orichalcum Warm Cape Hidden Blade Revive Scroll 30 Token Token Token Raid 1*Blue 6 5 5 Wizard
9 25/01/2019 Dark Orichalcum Trap Tools Hidden Blade Miracle Scroll 50 Troop Token Token Raid 2*Yellow 6 10 20 Paladin
14 08/02/2019 Fire Orichalcum Scabbard Orb of Magic Super Healing 30 Token Token Token Raid 1*Blue 3 30 3 Sorcerer

#175

@ArthurE_P, I added days between; you confirm de 4-16 days interval :wink:

Date Days Chest 1120 Flask Trainer Loot Tickets Atlantis
27/02/2018 Ice Dragon bone Orb of magic Orb of magic Super Antidotes 30 Token Token Token Raid 1* Red
15/03/2018 16 Holy Orichalcum Hidden Blade Tall boots Revive Scroll 30 Hero Token Token Raid 1* Green
29/03/2018 14 Ice Meteor fragment Orb of magic Fine Gloves Super Antidotes 30 Troop Token Token Raid 1* Yellow
08/04/2018 10 Dark Dragon bone Orb of magic Fine gloves Tornado 30 Troop Token Token Raid 2* purple
24/04/2018 16 Dark Orichalcum Sturdy shield Mystic Rings Dragon attack 30 Token Token Token World 1* Blue
02/05/2018 8 Fire Orichalcum Sturdy Shield Hidden Blade Super Antidotes 30 Hero Token Token Alliance 2* Red
11/05/2018 9 Fire Orichalcum Fine Gloves Scabbard Dragon Banner 30 Hero Token Token Alliance 1*Yellow 1
21/05/2018 10 Holy Meteor fragments Warm Cape Battle Manual Miracle Scroll 50 Troop Token Token Raid 3* Green 2
26/05/2018 5 Holy Meteor fragments Sturdy Shield Warm Cape Miracle Scroll 30 Hero Token Token Raid 2*Red 2
08/06/2018 13 Fire Meteor fragments Tall Boots Tall Boots Revive Scroll 40 Token Token Token Alliance 1*Blue 1
20/06/2018 12 Holy Meteor fragments Sturdy Shield Compass Time Stop 20 Token Token Token World 1*Purple 1
02/07/2018 12 Ice Meteor Fragments Chainmail Shirt Warm Cape Super Antidotes 30 Troop Troop Token Raid 1*Green 1
09/07/2018 7 Dark Orichalcum Orb of Magic Warm Cape Super Healing 40 Troop Token Token World 1*Red 2
21/07/2018 12 Holy Dragon Bone Scabbard Orb of Magic Super Antidotes 40 Token Token Token Raid 1*Yellow 2
27/07/2018 6 Ice Dragon Bone Trap Tools Battle Manual Super Antidotes 40 Hero Token Token World 2*Blue 1
12/08/2018 16 Nature Orichalcum Tall Boots Chainmail Shirt Bomb Attack 30 Troop Troop Token Alliance 3*Purple 1
22/08/2018 10 Dark Dragon Bone Mystic Rings Fine Gloves Super Mana 30 Hero Token Token Raid 1*Yellow 2 5
01/09/2018 10 Holy Orichalcum Tall Boots Chainmail Super Healing 20 Hero Troop Token Alliance 1* Yellow 3
08/09/2018 7 Ice Dragon Bone Mysterious Tonic Orb of Magic Dragon Banner 50 Token Token Token World 2*Purple 1 5
19/09/2018 11 Holy Meteor Fragments Tall Boots Chainmail Time Stop 50 Troop Token Token Alliance 1*Red 3 10
30/09/2018 11 Holy Dragon Bone Tall Boots Sturdy Shield Revive Scroll 30 Hero Hero Token World 1*Purple 6 5
14/10/2018 14 Dark Orichalcum Mysterious Tonic Compass Bomb Attack 40 Troop Token Token World 1*Blue 6 10
26/10/2018 12 Nature Dragon Bone Compass Orb of Magic Dragon Banner 50 Hero Token Token Raid 1*Red 6 10
02/11/2018 7 Dark Orichalcum Compass Hidden Blade Time Stop 40 Troop Token Token Raid 1*Blue 6 10
07/11/2018 5 Nature Dragon Bone Battle Manual Chainmail Dragon Banner 30 Hero Hero Token World 3*Blue 6 5
16/11/2018 9 Ice Orichalcum Royal Tabard Compass Bomb Attack 20 Token Token Token Raid 1*Red 6 5
29/11/2018 13 Ice Meteor Fragments Scabbard Trap Tools Super Antitodes 30 Hero Token Token Alliance 1*Purple 6 5
07/12/2018 8 Dark Meteor Fragments Battle Manual Hidden Blade Dragon Attack 20 Hero Troop Token World 1*Green 6 5
21/12/2018 14 Ice Dragon Bone Scabbard Sturdy Shield Tornado 40 Hero Token Token World 1*Yellow 6 5
01/01/2019 11 Nature Dragon Bone Compass Compass Miracle Scroll 30 Hero Token Token Raid 2*Red 3 5
16/01/2019 15 Nature Orichalcum Warm Cape Hidden Blade Revive Scroll 30 Token Token Token Raid 1*Blue 6 5 5 Wizard
25/01/2019 9 Dark Orichalcum Trap Tools Hidden Blade Miracle Scroll 50 Troop Token Token Raid 2*Yellow 6 10 20 Paladin
08/02/2019 14 Fire Orichalcum Scabbard Orb of Magic Super Healing 30 Token Token Token Raid 1*Blue 3 30 3 Sorcerer

#176

I have it in my Excel, just didn’t copy :slight_smile:


#177

@Rook @Kerridoc @zephyr1 would like to add in title at the end " > estimated between 4 to 16 days" , please.

Thanks :wink:


#178

Weirdly, my last two chests seem to have been farther apart, like 20 days, even though I’ve been skipping Raid Chest timers a bit. I’ve checked twice to make sure I didn’t miss one. Not sure what to make of that.


#179

I have seen in this thread people reporting back to back spawns - so please take the low end with a grain of salt (or else they were lying).


#180

1 of 6x(20-25) data is a neglijable error. i really doubt the next one will be at 20 again. i skipped too some monster chests and got 16 days.