How many summons are needed to get a HOTM?
Special thanks to @Garanwyn & @zephyr1 for assistance on summoning odds and proofreading for this section.
It’s important to remember that HOTM have very low summoning odds. No amount of summoning will guarantee a HOTM.
On average, in a 10-pull, you have a 12.3% chance of summoning the HOTM.
But that statistic can lead our minds astray in exactly how our odds play out as we continue summoning.
Some useful insights:
- 73 times out of 100, you’ll get a HOTM by pull 100
- 95 times out of 100, you’ll get a HOTM by pull 229
- 99 times out of 100, you’ll get a HOTM by pull 352
Putting that in Perspective
- 27 out of every 100 people won’t get the HOTM by the 100th pull
- If 1 Million players each summoned 100 times, 270,000 of those players wouldn’t get the HOTM
- 5 out of every 100 people won’t get the HOTM by the 229th pull
- If 1 Million players each summoned 229 times, 50,000 of those players wouldn’t get the HOTM
More Insights & Reading
I highly recommend reading these three threads for more information and context on summoning odds:
For every single recently released hero there is a copy of this on the forum. It took me just one week from download to find this place. While this is a new addition, we should all be mindful of the lesson.